889 FNUS52 KILM 181350 FWFILM Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina National Weather Service Wilmington NC 850 AM EST Tue Feb 18 2020 .DISCUSSION... Warm-moist air mass today ahead of a cold front that will move through our area on Wednesday. Cold air behind the front with rain on Thursday and Thursday night. Much cooler and drier air under high pressure this weekend. Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable. Fog potential for tonight is Moderate. NCZ105>110-190600- Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover- Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick- Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro, Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport, and Sunset Beach 850 AM EST Tue Feb 18 2020 Today Tonight Wed Cloud amount Mcldy Mcldy Cloudy Precip chc (%) 50 90 100 Precip type Showers Showers Showers LAL 1 1 1 Min/Max Temp 71 55 59 Wnd20ft/early(mph) LGT/VAR SW 5 N 7 G20 Wnd20ft/late(mph) SW 3 SW 5 NE 10 G21 Precip amount 0.05 0.42 0.30 Precip duration 1 9 9 Inversion 63/1100 1700 57/0700 Dispersion Fair Max/Min RH (%) 69 100 66 DSI 2 1 Haines Index 3 3 2 Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 2340 2430 Transport wnd (mph) S 8 NE 26 Ventilation rate 18840 64270 ADI early 6 Very poor 5 Very poor 48 Gen good ADI late 20 Gen poor 5 Very poor 53 Gen good Max LVORI early 8 7 8 Max LVORI late 5 9 3 Remarks...Brotak Profile Present. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 80 percent. Northeast winds 15 to 20 mph. .THURSDAY...Breezy, rain. Highs in the upper 40s. Minimum RH 66 percent. Chance of rain near 100 percent. Northeast winds 20 to 25 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Breezy. Rain, snow and a slight chance of freezing rain. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Chance of precipitation 90 percent. North winds 20 to 25 mph. .FRIDAY...Breezy. Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of freezing rain. Highs in the lower 40s. Minimum RH 47 percent. North winds 20 to 25 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 20s. Maximum RH 77 percent. North winds 15 to 20 mph. .SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 39 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH 87 percent. North winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 47 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with rain likely. Not as cool. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of rain 70 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Rain. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 68 percent. Chance of rain 80 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ NCZ096-099-190600- Bladen-Columbus- Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw 850 AM EST Tue Feb 18 2020 Today Tonight Wed Cloud amount Mcldy Cloudy Cloudy Precip chc (%) 50 90 100 Precip type Showers Showers Showers LAL 1 1 1 Min/Max Temp 70 52 58 Wnd20ft/early(mph) LGT/VAR S 4 N 7 Wnd20ft/late(mph) SW 3 SW 4 NE 9 Precip amount 0.06 0.36 0.30 Precip duration 1 9 9 Inversion 61/1100 1700 56/0800 Dispersion Fair Max/Min RH (%) 71 100 65 DSI 2 1 Haines Index 3 2 2 Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 2100 2710 Transport wnd (mph) S 10 NE 29 Ventilation rate 21740 77910 ADI early 7 poor 5 Very poor 59 Gen good ADI late 21 Fair 4 Very poor 64 Good Max LVORI early 8 9 8 Max LVORI late 4 9 3 Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 77 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY...Rain. Highs in the upper 40s. Minimum RH 62 percent. Chance of rain 90 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Snow, rain and a slight chance of freezing rain. Colder. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of precipitation 90 percent. Northeast winds around 10 mph. .FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 40s. Minimum RH 43 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 20s. Maximum RH 74 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 35 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH 85 percent. Light and variable wind. .SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 43 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with rain likely. Not as cool. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of rain 70 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Cloudy with rain likely. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 68 percent. Chance of rain 70 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. $$ NCZ087-190600- Robeson- Including the city of Lumberton 850 AM EST Tue Feb 18 2020 Today Tonight Wed Cloud amount Mcldy Cloudy Cloudy Precip chc (%) 50 90 90 Precip type Showers Showers Showers LAL 1 1 1 Min/Max Temp 67 51 55 Wnd20ft/early(mph) LGT/VAR SW 5 N 10 Wnd20ft/late(mph) SW 4 W 5 NE 10 Precip amount 0.06 0.37 0.29 Precip duration 2 9 9 Inversion 58/1100 1700 53/0600 Dispersion Fair Max/Min RH (%) 72 100 63 DSI 2 1 Haines Index 3 2 2 Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 1570 2860 Transport wnd (mph) SW 12 NE 29 Ventilation rate 18060 82220 ADI early 5 Very poor 5 Very poor 58 Gen good ADI late 19 Gen poor 4 Very poor 64 Good Max LVORI early 7 6 8 Max LVORI late 4 9 3 Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 70 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY...Rain. Highs in the upper 40s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Chance of rain 90 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with snow, rain likely and a slight chance of freezing rain. Colder. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Northeast winds around 10 mph. .FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 40s. Minimum RH 41 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 20s. Maximum RH 71 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 34 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH 81 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 41 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with rain likely. Not as cool. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Chance of rain 70 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Rain. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 68 percent. Chance of rain 80 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ SCZ054>056-058-059-190600- Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry- Northern Horry- Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor 850 AM EST Tue Feb 18 2020 Today Tonight Wed Cloud amount Mcldy Cloudy Cloudy Precip chc (%) 60 90 100 Precip type Showers Showers Showers LAL 1 1 1 Min/Max Temp 70 56 60 Wnd20ft/early(mph) LGT/VAR S 4 NW 7 Wnd20ft/late(mph) S 3 SW 3 NE 10 Precip amount 0.14 0.43 0.30 Precip duration 2 10 10 Inversion 62/1100 1700 58/0600 Dispersion Poor Max/Min RH (%) 75 100 72 DSI 2 1 Haines Index 4 3 3 Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 1930 2310 Transport wnd (mph) SE 6 NE 29 Ventilation rate 11100 66410 ADI early 4 Very poor 4 Very poor 32 Fair ADI late 10 poor 4 Very poor 57 Gen good Max LVORI early 9 9 9 Max LVORI late 5 10 3 Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 85 percent. Northeast winds 15 to 20 mph. .THURSDAY...Rain. Highs in the upper 40s. Minimum RH 68 percent. Chance of rain near 100 percent. Northeast winds 15 to 20 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Rain with possible snow and freezing rain. Colder. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Chance of precipitation 90 percent. North winds 15 to 20 mph. .FRIDAY...Breezy. Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of freezing rain. Highs in the lower 40s. Minimum RH 46 percent. North winds 20 to 25 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Maximum RH 75 percent. Northeast winds 15 to 20 mph. .SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 39 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH 85 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of rain. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 49 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with rain likely. Not as cool. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of rain 70 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Rain. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 72 percent. Chance of rain 80 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ SCZ032-033-039-190600- Florence-Marion-Williamsburg- Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree 850 AM EST Tue Feb 18 2020 Today Tonight Wed Cloud amount Mcldy Cloudy Cloudy Precip chc (%) 70 90 100 Precip type Showers Showers Showers LAL 1 1 1 Min/Max Temp 68 54 60 Wnd20ft/early(mph) LGT/VAR S 4 N 7 Wnd20ft/late(mph) LGT/VAR SW 4 NE 10 Precip amount 0.13 0.44 0.31 Precip duration 3 11 9 Inversion 61/1100 1700 57/0600 Dispersion Fair Max/Min RH (%) 74 100 69 DSI 2 1 Haines Index 3 3 2 Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 1910 2680 Transport wnd (mph) S 6 NE 29 Ventilation rate 10980 77050 ADI early 3 Very poor 4 Very poor 45 Gen good ADI late 11 poor 4 Very poor 61 Good Max LVORI early 9 9 9 Max LVORI late 5 10 3 Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 80 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY...Rain. Highs in the upper 40s. Minimum RH 62 percent. Chance of rain 90 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Rain with possible snow and freezing rain. Colder. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Chance of precipitation 90 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph. .FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 40s. Minimum RH 41 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 20s. Maximum RH 73 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 34 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH 84 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of rain. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 44 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Rain. Not as cool. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Chance of rain 80 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Rain. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 67 percent. Chance of rain 80 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ SCZ017-023-024-190600- Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon- Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville, Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon 850 AM EST Tue Feb 18 2020 Today Tonight Wed Cloud amount Mcldy Cloudy Cloudy Precip chc (%) 60 90 90 Precip type Showers Showers Showers LAL 1 1 1 Min/Max Temp 66 50 56 Wnd20ft/early(mph) LGT/VAR S 4 N 9 Wnd20ft/late(mph) SW 4 W 5 NE 10 Precip amount 0.08 0.37 0.28 Precip duration 2 11 9 Inversion 58/1100 1600 53/0600 Dispersion Fair Max/Min RH (%) 74 100 66 DSI 2 1 Haines Index 3 2 2 Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 1670 2730 Transport wnd (mph) SW 8 NE 26 Ventilation rate 13440 72210 ADI early 7 poor 5 Very poor 58 Gen good ADI late 13 Gen poor 5 Very poor 58 Gen good Max LVORI early 9 8 8 Max LVORI late 4 9 3 Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 73 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY...Rain. Highs in the upper 40s. Minimum RH 59 percent. Chance of rain 90 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with rain likely with possible snow and freezing rain. Colder. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 40s. Minimum RH 40 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 20s. Maximum RH 72 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 34 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH 82 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 42 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Rain. Not as cool. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Chance of rain 80 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Rain. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 67 percent. Chance of rain 80 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ .OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS... Temperatures near normal. Precipitation above normal. $$ SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE =================================================================== 0 TO 17249 1 0 TO 33499 17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999 34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999 51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999 69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND =================================================================== STAGNANT NEAR CALM CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH 2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH 6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH 9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH 14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS. LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index. $$