840 FNUS52 KILM 142008 FWFILM Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina National Weather Service Wilmington NC 308 PM EST Fri Feb 14 2020 .DISCUSSION... Canadian high pressure will build across the area through Saturday night, with dry, chilly weather continuing. Warming temperatures and increasing humidity is expected Sunday through Tuesday ahead of the next big cold front which will arrive Wednesday with showers. Colder temperatures are again expected late next week. Fog potential for tonight is None. NCZ105>110-151215- Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover- Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick- Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro, Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport, and Sunset Beach 308 PM EST Fri Feb 14 2020 Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun Cloud amount Mclear Clear Mclear Pcldy Precip chc (%) 0 0 0 20 Precip type None None None Showers LAL 1 1 1 1 Min/Max Temp 31 50 30 57 Wnd20ft/early(mph) N 6 NE 7 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR Wnd20ft/late(mph) NE 7 NE 5 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Precip duration 1 Inversion 1800 None 1900 42/0900 Dispersion Fair Very Poor Max/Min RH (%) 77 31 89 45 DSI 2 2 Haines Index 5 4 4 4 Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 4100 4050 Transport wnd (mph) NE 17 SW 16 Ventilation rate 70730 65200 ADI early 7 poor 44 Gen good 1 Very poor 13 Gen poor ADI late 16 Gen poor 39 Fair 1 Very poor 39 Fair Max LVORI early 3 3 4 6 Max LVORI late 3 2 6 2 Remarks...Brotak Stack Present. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 100 percent. West winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 67 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 80 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 51 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Colder. Lows around 40. Maximum RH 89 percent. North winds 15 to 20 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Cooler. Highs around 50. Minimum RH 58 percent. North winds 15 to 20 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain showers. Colder. Lows around 30. Maximum RH 88 percent. North winds 15 to 20 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain showers. Highs around 50. Minimum RH 53 percent. Northeast winds 15 to 20 mph. $$ NCZ087-096-099-151215- Robeson-Bladen-Columbus- Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw 308 PM EST Fri Feb 14 2020 Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun Cloud amount Mclear Clear Mclear Pcldy Precip chc (%) 0 0 0 20 Precip type None None None Showers LAL 1 1 1 1 Min/Max Temp 30 50 31 57 Wnd20ft/early(mph) N 5 NE 7 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR Wnd20ft/late(mph) NE 7 NE 5 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Precip duration 1 Inversion 1800 None 1800 41/0900 Dispersion Fair Very Poor Max/Min RH (%) 73 30 82 47 DSI 2 2 Haines Index 4 4 4 4 Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 3950 3680 Transport wnd (mph) NE 10 W 18 Ventilation rate 40880 67710 ADI early 9 poor 42 Gen good 1 Very poor 20 Gen poor ADI late 15 Gen poor 36 Fair 1 Very poor 41 Gen good Max LVORI early 3 3 4 5 Max LVORI late 3 2 5 2 Remarks...Brotak Profile Present. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 61 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 100 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 77 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers 60 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 49 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Colder. Lows around 40. Maximum RH 86 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Cooler. Highs in the upper 40s. Minimum RH 56 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain showers. Colder. Lows in the upper 20s. Maximum RH 83 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain showers. Highs in the upper 40s. Minimum RH 48 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ SCZ054>056-058-059-151215- Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry- Northern Horry- Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor 308 PM EST Fri Feb 14 2020 Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun Cloud amount Clear Clear Mclear Mcldy Precip chc (%) 0 0 0 40 Precip type None None None Showers LAL 1 1 1 1 Min/Max Temp 32 52 32 58 Wnd20ft/early(mph) N 5 NE 8 E 3 LGT/VAR Wnd20ft/late(mph) NE 7 NE 6 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 Precip duration 2 Inversion 1800 35/0800 1900 44/0900 Dispersion Fair Very Poor Max/Min RH (%) 76 34 90 54 DSI 2 2 Haines Index 4 4 4 3 Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 4100 3530 Transport wnd (mph) NE 14 SW 13 Ventilation rate 56580 44650 ADI early 8 poor 44 Gen good 2 Very poor 17 Gen poor ADI late 7 poor 40 Fair 1 Very poor 18 Gen poor Max LVORI early 3 3 4 5 Max LVORI late 3 2 6 3 Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 70 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 81 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers 60 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 52 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Colder. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 89 percent. Northeast winds 15 to 20 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Cooler. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 59 percent. North winds 15 to 20 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain showers. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH 87 percent. North winds 15 to 20 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain showers. Highs in the upper 40s. Minimum RH 53 percent. Northeast winds 15 to 20 mph. $$ SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-151215- Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg- Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville, Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree 308 PM EST Fri Feb 14 2020 Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun Cloud amount Clear Clear Mclear Mcldy Precip chc (%) 0 0 0 30 Precip type None None None Showers LAL 1 1 1 1 Min/Max Temp 31 52 32 58 Wnd20ft/early(mph) NE 5 NE 7 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR Wnd20ft/late(mph) NE 6 NE 5 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 Precip duration 2 Inversion 1800 34/0800 1800 43/1000 Dispersion Fair Very Poor Max/Min RH (%) 72 32 82 51 DSI 2 2 Haines Index 4 4 4 4 Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 4070 3270 Transport wnd (mph) E 14 SW 16 Ventilation rate 56170 52650 ADI early 6 Very poor 44 Gen good 2 Very poor 17 Gen poor ADI late 6 Very poor 39 Fair 1 Very poor 27 Fair Max LVORI early 3 3 4 4 Max LVORI late 3 2 4 2 Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 62 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers. Lows around 50. Maximum RH 100 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 79 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers 60 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 49 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Colder. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 86 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Cooler. Highs in the upper 40s. Minimum RH 57 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain showers. Colder. Lows around 30. Maximum RH 86 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain showers. Highs in the upper 40s. Minimum RH 49 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ .OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS... Temperatures near normal. Precipitation above normal. $$ SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE =================================================================== 0 TO 17249 1 0 TO 33499 17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999 34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999 51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999 69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND =================================================================== STAGNANT NEAR CALM CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH 2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH 6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH 9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH 14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS. LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index. $$ TRA