448 
FXUS64 KTSA 291012
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
412 AM CST Wed Jan 29 2020

.DISCUSSION...
Light rain will be ending early this morning across the forecast 
area. A little light snow or snow flurries will remain possible on
the far northwest fringe of the precipitation shield across far 
northeast Oklahoma, but little or no impacts are expected.

The clouds will likely hang around for an extended period, which
will limit the diurnal temperature range over the next couple
days. Another upper level storm system will bring a slight chance
for a few light showers across parts of southeast Oklahoma and
west central Arkansas Thursday night.

Some clearing may finally occur by Friday afternoon, with abundant
sunshine and unseasonably warm temperatures then expected over the
weekend. Temperatures will warm into the 60s in most places
Saturday, with 70s common in many areas Sunday. An increase in
cloud cover will knock a few degrees off temperatures Monday, but
it will still be an unseasonably warm day. A few showers will be
possible Monday and Monday night, especially across far eastern
Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas.

A cold front is still on schedule to move across the area Monday
night, but the airmass behind the front does not look to be overly
cold for early February. Temperatures towards the middle of next
week will be just a few degrees below the seasonal normals, with
little chance of any precipitation.

Went a bit cooler on highs and warmer on lows than the National
Blend of Models temperatures the next couple days, but then went
well above the NBM highs over the weekend, in line with the ECMWF
MOS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   40  32  42  34 /   0   0  10   0 
FSM   45  38  45  38 /  40   0  10  20 
MLC   42  35  44  37 /  10   0  10  20 
BVO   38  29  41  32 /   0   0  10   0 
FYV   40  34  42  34 /  40   0  10   0 
BYV   38  33  41  34 /  60   0  10   0 
MKO   41  34  42  36 /   0   0  10   0 
MIO   38  30  41  33 /  30   0  10   0 
F10   41  34  42  35 /  10   0  10   0 
HHW   46  40  46  40 /   0  10  10  20 

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...22
LONG TERM....05

PLATE