119 
FXUS65 KFGZ 272208
AFDFGZ

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
308 PM MST Mon Jan 27 2020

.SYNOPSIS...Dry weather returns tonight through Wednesday 
morning. Another chance of showers arrives Wednesday afternoon 
through Thursday morning. Expect dry weather but brisk northeast 
winds Thursday. A warming trend will begin on Friday and continue
into the weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...A few lingering showers remain near the White
Mountain Region this afternoon. Expect those to end over the next
couple of hours as the low continues to move out over New Mexico
with skies clearing. 

Behind this exiting system, expect dry conditions for Tuesday. Our
next chance for weather will arrive on Wednesday as a trough moves
in from the northwest. Snow levels will be around 5500-6000 feet
with this system with light accumulations under an inch except for
the Kaibab Plateau, Chuska Mountains, and White Mountain Region
where amounts around 2-4 inches will be possible. This system has
been trending wetter in the last 24 hours so these amounts are 
still uncertain. Stay tuned for any updated amounts!

We still anticipate strong north to north northeasterly flow to
develop Wednesday night into Thursday morning. Favored areas 
along and south of the high terrian will experience some gusty 
conditions overnight into Thursday morning. Thursday afternoon and 
evening, winds will decrease but remain breezy through Friday 
morning. 

Friday into the weekend, high pressure will build in across the
desert southwest bring quiet weather with warming temperatures 
each day. After the weekend, a trend to more active wather will be
possible with some long range models hinting at a much wetter and
colder pattern.

&&

.AVIATION...For the 00Z package..VFR conditions will prevail across 
northern Arizona over the next 24 hrs. West to northwest winds 10-15 
kts gusting 20-25KTS will develop through the day until around 02Z. 
Aviation discussion not updated for TAF amendments.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...Breezy northwesterly to north surface winds 
will continue this evening and then decrease overnight. Dry 
conditions will return Tuesday with lighter winds. Another fast 
moving trough of low pressure will move across Arizona on Wednesday 
with gusty northerly winds and chances for rain and mountain snow.

.Thursday through Saturday...Dry conditions and northerly to 
northeasterly breezes return Thursday afternoon through Saturday 
as surface hot pressure develops over Utah and Colorado.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC...ET
AVIATION...MAS
FIRE WEATHER...MAS


For Northern Arizona weather information visit
weather.gov/flagstaff