777 FXUS64 KMAF 171104 AFDMAF Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX 504 AM CST Fri Jan 17 2020 .DISCUSSION... See aviation discussion below. && .AVIATION... IFR/LIFR conditions in low clouds and fog are expected at the west Texas and southeast New Mexico terminals this morning. Conditions should improve to MVFR by early this afternoon and then become VFR at all terminals by mid afternoon through much of tonight. 12 && .PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 342 AM CST Fri Jan 17 2020/ DISCUSSION... Current radar shows a line of showers and isolated thunderstorms moving across the Permian Basin this morning. Temperatures south of I-20 are above freezing and there is not threat for wintry precipitation there. Temps north of I-20 are closer to freezing, especially in our northern tier of counties from Seminole to Snyder; however, there is virtually no temp/dewpoint depression so there is no room for temps to go any lower. In fact cold air advection has ceased and if anything temps will hold or even edge up a degree or two before sunrise when the warming process accelerates. Of course, ice accumulation is possible anywhere temps are below freezing but conditions are not favorable for anything more than a very light glaze on exposed surfaces (the ground is too warm for accumulation) so will let the WSW and SPS expire as scheduled. The rain will end in our area by noon today, possibly even a few hours earlier with clearing skies expected from west to east. Those areas that break out may reach 60 degrees while other areas will likely stay in the 50s today. A reinforcing surge of cold air arrives early tomorrow leaving seasonably cool temperatures in its wake this weekend. Surface high pressure will only slowly move east not allowing for a significant warm up until the middle of next week. At that time an upper trough will drop down into the central Rockies potentially bringing our next chance for precipitation. Hennig && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Big Spring 58 35 54 30 / 80 0 0 0 Carlsbad 61 33 58 31 / 0 0 0 0 Dryden 63 43 64 36 / 50 0 0 0 Fort Stockton 62 39 58 33 / 30 0 0 0 Guadalupe Pass 55 35 50 30 / 0 0 0 0 Hobbs 58 32 54 26 / 10 0 0 0 Marfa 61 30 59 28 / 10 0 0 0 Midland Intl Airport 59 35 55 30 / 60 0 0 0 Odessa 58 36 55 30 / 50 0 0 0 Wink 62 33 58 29 / 20 0 0 0 && .MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NM...None. TX...Winter Weather Advisory until 6 AM CST early this morning for Borden-Mitchell-Scurry. && $$ 12/10