417 FNUS52 KILM 150902 FWFILM Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina National Weather Service Wilmington NC 402 AM EST Wed Jan 15 2020 .DISCUSSION... An exiting frontal boundary will bring isolated showers this morning. A stronger cold front will bring another chance of showers late tonight and early Thursday, followed by drier and cooler air Friday into the weekend. A cold front arriving from the northwest will bring showers Saturday night and early Sunday. Colder and drier air will arrive Monday through the first half of next week. Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable. Fog potential for tonight is Moderate. NCZ105>110-160115- Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover- Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick- Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro, Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport, and Sunset Beach 402 AM EST Wed Jan 15 2020 Today Tonight Thu Cloud amount Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy Precip chc (%) 20 20 20 Precip type Showers Showers Showers LAL 1 1 1 Min/Max Temp 74 59 71 Wnd20ft/early(mph) LGT/VAR S 3 W 8 Wnd20ft/late(mph) SE 4 SW 5 NW 11 Precip amount 0.07 0.02 0.00 Precip duration 1 1 1 Inversion 63/0900 1800 66/1000 Dispersion Poor Max/Min RH (%) 72 100 39 DSI 2 2 Haines Index 3 3 3 Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 2710 3820 Transport wnd (mph) SE 6 NW 24 Ventilation rate 15580 92250 ADI early 12 poor 4 Very poor 53 Gen good ADI late 14 Gen poor 6 Very poor 62 Good Max LVORI early 10 8 7 Max LVORI late 5 9 1 Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH 56 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph. .FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs around 50. Minimum RH 33 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH 75 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of rain showers. Not as cool. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 62 percent. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with showers likely. Warmer. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 50 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH 65 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Cooler. Highs in the mid 40s. Minimum RH 42 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Maximum RH 63 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 40s. Minimum RH 38 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph. $$ NCZ087-096-099-160115- Robeson-Bladen-Columbus- Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw 402 AM EST Wed Jan 15 2020 Today Tonight Thu Cloud amount Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy Precip chc (%) 30 20 20 Precip type Showers Showers Showers LAL 1 1 1 Min/Max Temp 73 61 70 Wnd20ft/early(mph) LGT/VAR S 3 W 8 Wnd20ft/late(mph) S 3 SW 6 NW 10 G20 Precip amount 0.07 0.02 0.00 Precip duration 1 1 0 Inversion 63/0900 1700 65/0900 Dispersion Poor Max/Min RH (%) 72 99 39 DSI 2 1 Haines Index 3 3 2 Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 2590 3760 Transport wnd (mph) S 7 NW 23 Ventilation rate 17870 86480 ADI early 12 poor 4 Very poor 53 Gen good ADI late 17 Gen poor 7 poor 62 Good Max LVORI early 10 9 7 Max LVORI late 4 9 1 Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH 56 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs around 50. Minimum RH 32 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH 64 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 54 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with showers likely. Warmer. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 46 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH 62 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Cooler. Highs in the mid 40s. Minimum RH 39 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s. Maximum RH 59 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 40. Minimum RH 35 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ SCZ054>056-058-059-160115- Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry- Northern Horry- Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor 402 AM EST Wed Jan 15 2020 Today Tonight Thu Cloud amount Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy Precip chc (%) 30 20 20 Precip type Showers Showers Showers LAL 1 1 1 Min/Max Temp 76 61 72 Wnd20ft/early(mph) LGT/VAR S 3 W 7 Wnd20ft/late(mph) S 3 SW 4 N 10 Precip amount 0.03 0.01 0.00 Precip duration 1 1 1 Inversion 66/1000 1800 66/0900 Dispersion Poor Max/Min RH (%) 68 100 41 DSI 2 2 Haines Index 3 3 3 Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 3810 3890 Transport wnd (mph) SW 7 N 23 Ventilation rate 26290 89470 ADI early 9 poor 3 Very poor 55 Gen good ADI late 19 Gen poor 4 Very poor 63 Good Max LVORI early 10 8 7 Max LVORI late 4 9 1 Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH 54 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph. .FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 34 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH 73 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 61 percent. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with showers likely. Warmer. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 51 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH 65 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Cooler. Highs in the upper 40s. Minimum RH 41 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Maximum RH 61 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 40s. Minimum RH 37 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph. $$ SCZ032-033-039-160115- Florence-Marion-Williamsburg- Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree 402 AM EST Wed Jan 15 2020 Today Tonight Thu Cloud amount Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy Precip chc (%) 20 20 20 Precip type Showers Showers Showers LAL 1 1 1 Min/Max Temp 75 61 71 Wnd20ft/early(mph) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR W 8 Wnd20ft/late(mph) SW 3 SW 5 N 10 Precip amount 0.05 0.02 0.00 Precip duration 1 1 1 Inversion 65/1000 1700 66/0900 Dispersion Very Poor Max/Min RH (%) 66 99 39 DSI 2 1 Haines Index 3 3 2 Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 3300 3820 Transport wnd (mph) SW 7 NW 22 Ventilation rate 22770 83470 ADI early 8 poor 2 Very poor 58 Gen good ADI late 22 Fair 6 Very poor 59 Gen good Max LVORI early 10 8 8 Max LVORI late 3 9 1 Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH 53 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 32 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH 65 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 54 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Warmer. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent. Southwest winds around 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 47 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH 65 percent. North winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Cooler. Highs in the upper 40s. Minimum RH 38 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Maximum RH 58 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 40s. Minimum RH 34 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ SCZ017-023-024-160115- Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon- Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville, Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon 402 AM EST Wed Jan 15 2020 Today Tonight Thu Cloud amount Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy Precip chc (%) 30 20 0 Precip type Showers Showers None LAL 1 1 1 Min/Max Temp 74 61 68 Wnd20ft/early(mph) LGT/VAR SW 3 W 8 Wnd20ft/late(mph) SW 3 SW 6 NW 11 Precip amount 0.07 0.02 0.00 Precip duration 1 1 Inversion 63/1000 1700 64/0900 Dispersion Poor Max/Min RH (%) 71 98 38 DSI 2 1 Haines Index 3 3 2 Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 2300 3630 Transport wnd (mph) SW 7 N 22 Ventilation rate 15870 79320 ADI early 7 poor 4 Very poor 51 Gen good ADI late 17 Gen poor 7 poor 57 Gen good Max LVORI early 10 7 6 Max LVORI late 4 8 1 Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH 54 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 34 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH 59 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...Cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 52 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Warmer. Lows around 50. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 45 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH 63 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Cooler. Highs in the mid 40s. Minimum RH 39 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Maximum RH 57 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 40s. Minimum RH 35 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ .OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS... Temperatures below normal. Precipitation above normal. $$ SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE =================================================================== 0 TO 17249 1 0 TO 33499 17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999 34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999 51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999 69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND =================================================================== STAGNANT NEAR CALM CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH 2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH 6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH 9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH 14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS. LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index. $$ 8