808 FNUS52 KILM 121707 FWFILM Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina National Weather Service Wilmington NC 1207 PM EST Sun Jan 12 2020 .DISCUSSION... Brotak Wind Profile conditions this morning thru mid-afternoon. Unseasonably warm and humid weather will continue through early Thursday as high pressure remains parked offshore. A cold front moving through the area on Thursday will bring cooler and drier weather for late in the week. Another front could move through the Carolinas late Saturday. Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable. Fog potential for tonight is High. NCZ105>110-130915- Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover- Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick- Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro, Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport, and Sunset Beach 1207 PM EST Sun Jan 12 2020 Today Tonight Mon Cloud amount Cloudy Mcldy Cloudy Precip chc (%) 50 50 60 Precip type Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 1 1 2 Min/Max Temp 76 61 75 Wnd20ft/early(mph) SW 10 G22 S 3 S 4 Wnd20ft/late(mph) SW 6 S 3 SW 6 Precip amount 0.14 0.13 0.18 Precip duration 2 2 2 Inversion 70/0600 1700 69/1000 Dispersion Poor Max/Min RH (%) 72 100 75 DSI 2 2 Haines Index 3 3 3 Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 2770 2040 Transport wnd (mph) SW 18 SW 20 Ventilation rate 50970 39880 ADI early 49 Gen good 4 Very poor 25 Fair ADI late 44 Gen good 3 Very poor 39 Fair Max LVORI early 5 10 9 Max LVORI late 4 9 4 Remarks...Brotak Profile Present. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .MONDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with a chance of showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 74 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 74 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Lows around 60. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 50 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows around 40. Maximum RH 69 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Cooler. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 47 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 100 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 63 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph. $$ NCZ096-099-130915- Bladen-Columbus- Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw 1207 PM EST Sun Jan 12 2020 Today Tonight Mon Cloud amount Cloudy Mcldy Cloudy Precip chc (%) 60 50 60 Precip type Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 1 1 2 Min/Max Temp 74 62 75 Wnd20ft/early(mph) SW 8 G22 LGT/VAR S 4 Wnd20ft/late(mph) SW 4 LGT/VAR SW 5 Precip amount 0.16 0.14 0.19 Precip duration 2 2 2 Inversion 70/0600 1900 68/1000 Dispersion Very Poor Max/Min RH (%) 72 100 74 DSI 1 2 Haines Index 3 3 3 Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 2510 2040 Transport wnd (mph) SW 16 SW 17 Ventilation rate 40410 35190 ADI early 43 Gen good 3 Very poor 27 Fair ADI late 37 Fair 2 Very poor 33 Fair Max LVORI early 5 10 9 Max LVORI late 4 10 4 Remarks...Brotak Profile Present. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .MONDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with a chance of showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 72 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 71 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Lows around 60. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 47 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows around 40. Maximum RH 67 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Cooler. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 44 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 62 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. $$ NCZ087-130915- Robeson- Including the city of Lumberton 1207 PM EST Sun Jan 12 2020 Today Tonight Mon Cloud amount Cloudy Mcldy Cloudy Precip chc (%) 60 60 60 Precip type Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 1 1 2 Min/Max Temp 72 61 75 Wnd20ft/early(mph) SW 8 G21 LGT/VAR S 5 Wnd20ft/late(mph) SW 4 S 3 SW 6 Precip amount 0.18 0.17 0.21 Precip duration 3 2 2 Inversion 67/0600 1900 67/1000 Dispersion Very Poor Max/Min RH (%) 69 100 74 DSI 1 2 Haines Index 2 3 3 Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 2380 1980 Transport wnd (mph) SW 15 SW 16 Ventilation rate 35580 31880 ADI early 32 Fair 3 Very poor 23 Fair ADI late 42 Gen good 3 Very poor 31 Fair Max LVORI early 5 10 9 Max LVORI late 3 10 3 Remarks...Brotak Profile Present. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .MONDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with showers likely and a slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 73 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 69 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Lows around 60. Maximum RH 98 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 44 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Much colder. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH 66 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Cooler. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 42 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 93 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...Cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 62 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. $$ SCZ054>056-058-059-130915- Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry- Northern Horry- Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor 1207 PM EST Sun Jan 12 2020 Today Tonight Mon Cloud amount Mcldy Mcldy Cloudy Precip chc (%) 70 40 50 Precip type Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 1 1 2 Min/Max Temp 75 61 76 Wnd20ft/early(mph) SW 9 G21 S 3 S 4 Wnd20ft/late(mph) SW 6 S 3 S 6 Precip amount 0.17 0.11 0.16 Precip duration 3 2 2 Inversion 70/0900 1700 69/1000 Dispersion Poor Max/Min RH (%) 72 100 74 DSI 1 2 Haines Index 3 3 3 Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 2690 1950 Transport wnd (mph) SW 16 SW 16 Ventilation rate 43310 31390 ADI early 37 Fair 3 Very poor 20 Gen poor ADI late 37 Fair 3 Very poor 30 Fair Max LVORI early 5 10 9 Max LVORI late 4 10 4 Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 71 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 72 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 53 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 70 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Cooler. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 50 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 62 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph. $$ SCZ032-033-039-130915- Florence-Marion-Williamsburg- Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree 1207 PM EST Sun Jan 12 2020 Today Tonight Mon Cloud amount Cloudy Mcldy Cloudy Precip chc (%) 80 40 60 Precip type Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 1 1 2 Min/Max Temp 73 62 75 Wnd20ft/early(mph) SW 7 LGT/VAR S 4 Wnd20ft/late(mph) SW 4 S 3 SW 6 Precip amount 0.20 0.12 0.17 Precip duration 6 2 2 Inversion 68/0600 1800 68/1000 Dispersion Very Poor Max/Min RH (%) 71 100 71 DSI 1 2 Haines Index 3 3 3 Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 2360 1850 Transport wnd (mph) SW 16 SW 15 Ventilation rate 38000 27660 ADI early 29 Fair 2 Very poor 23 Fair ADI late 33 Fair 2 Very poor 30 Fair Max LVORI early 5 10 9 Max LVORI late 4 10 3 Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 68 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 68 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Lows around 60. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 47 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 69 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Cooler. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 45 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 99 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 60 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. $$ SCZ017-023-024-130915- Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon- Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville, Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon 1207 PM EST Sun Jan 12 2020 Today Tonight Mon Cloud amount Cloudy Mcldy Cloudy Precip chc (%) 70 60 60 Precip type Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 1 1 2 Min/Max Temp 72 61 74 Wnd20ft/early(mph) SW 7 LGT/VAR S 4 Wnd20ft/late(mph) SW 3 S 3 SW 5 Precip amount 0.18 0.17 0.21 Precip duration 4 2 2 Inversion None 1900 67/1000 Dispersion Very Poor Max/Min RH (%) 68 100 74 DSI 1 2 Haines Index 2 3 3 Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 2320 1840 Transport wnd (mph) SW 15 SW 16 Ventilation rate 34680 29620 ADI early 25 Fair 3 Very poor 21 Fair ADI late 42 Gen good 3 Very poor 29 Fair Max LVORI early 5 10 9 Max LVORI late 3 10 4 Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .MONDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with a chance of showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 72 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 71 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Lows around 60. Maximum RH 99 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 45 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Much colder. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH 68 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Cooler. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 43 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 61 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. $$ .OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS... Temperatures below normal. Precipitation above normal. $$ SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE =================================================================== 0 TO 17249 1 0 TO 33499 17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999 34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999 51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999 69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND =================================================================== STAGNANT NEAR CALM CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH 2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH 6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH 9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH 14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS. LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index. $$