459 
FXUS62 KJAX 312121
AFDJAX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
421 PM EST Tue Dec 31 2019

.NEAR TERM [Through Tonight]...

A cool and dry New Year's Eve is in place for tonight as surface
high pressure continues to build into the region from the west.
Lows tonight will dip down to slightly below normal ranging from
the upper 30s to mid 40s. Breezy winds this afternoon begin to
subside tonight. With decreasing winds, there is a slight chance
for patchy frost formation in the far inland portions of southeast
Georgia. 


.SHORT TERM [New Years Day Through Thursday Night]...

Temperatures rebound and begin a warming trend til the end of the
work week. Surface high pressure will be overhead on Wednesday and
shift eastward out of the region on Thursday. Surface winds shift
from northerly to southerly with southerly flow causing higher 
temperatures and dewpoints over the area. Temperatures increase 
to well above normal by Thursday. Highs on Wednesday will be in 
the 60s with highs on Thursday ranging from the upper 60s to the 
upper 70s. 


.LONG TERM [Friday Through Monday]...

Rainfall returns on Friday as a cold front passes through the region 
Friday into Saturday. Ahead of the cold front, continued south-
southwesterly flow will cause temperatures to rise to near record 
with highs in the upper 70s to low 80s. Showers and storms move in
ahead of the frontal boundary with a slight chance for 
thunderstorms. With marginal instability and decent low level wind
shear (40-50 kt), an isolated strong thunderstorm could be 
possible. High pressure builds in behind the front bringing a 
return of below normal temperatures for the weekend. Wind chills 
in the low 30s will be possible early Sunday morning. 


&&

.AVIATION...
[Through 18Z Wednesday]

Prevailing VFR conditions expected this period.

&&

.MARINE...

High pressure continues to build over the region into Wednesday 
and departs to the east Thursday. A cold front passes through 
Friday afternoon into Saturday. An isolated thunderstorm may be 
possible ahead of the front. High pressure builds in for the 
weekend. An increase in wind and waves may lead to small craft 
conditions later this weekend. 

Rip Currents: Low risk through Wednesday.


&&

.HYDROLOGY...

Flood warnings continue for minor flooding along the Altahama 
River at Charlotteville, Baxley, Doctortown and Everett City.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...

AMG  37  60  41  68  60 /   0   0   0   0  10 
SSI  42  61  46  67  60 /   0   0   0   0  10 
JAX  40  65  46  73  62 /   0   0   0   0  10 
SGJ  45  63  48  73  63 /   0   0   0   0   0 
GNV  41  65  46  76  63 /   0   0   0   0  10 
OCF  42  66  47  78  64 /   0   0   0   0   0 

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
GA...None.
AM...None.
&&