727 
FXUS64 KTSA 292326
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
526 PM CST Sun Dec 29 2019

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
Area of low clouds resulting in low VFR ceilings across most sites
this evening, with high MVFR ceilings nwrn AR. Trend this evening
into the night will be rising ceilings, and eventually clearing 
skies late tonight. Gusty west wind will redevelop again Monday.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 430 PM CST Sun Dec 29 2019/ 

UPDATE...

The main update was to add mention of flurries near the KS border
this evening. See discussion below.

DISCUSSION...

Mid level moisture wrapping around the back side of a large upper
level low pressure system over the central CONUS is spreading
light snow across KS late this afternoon. The bulk of this snow
will stay north of the KS border this evening, but some flurries
can't be ruled out near the border in OK. Thus, a mention has been
added to the forecast for this evening. No accumulation or impacts
are expected.

Lacy

PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 258 PM CST Sun Dec 29 2019/ 

DISCUSSION...
The last of the radar echoes are moving out of western 
Arkansas at this hour. The light precipitation(snow) 
across western and central Kansas is expected to stay 
north of the area as it spreads to the east this evening. 
Will see gradual clearing across the area this evening
along with breezy conditions as the responsible storm 
system spins over the upper Mid-West. 

The breezy conditions will continue on Monday across 
northeast Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas as the low 
pressure system moves into Great Lakes Region. Otherwise, 
mostly sunny skies and near normal temperatures are expected
across eastern Oklahoma and western Arkansas on Monday. 

Benign weather with a bit a warming trend is expected Tuesday
into Wednesday before the next chance of rain returns to the 
area Thursday into Thursday night as the next cold front and
associated mid-level trof swing through the area. Another 
cold front is slated to move through on Saturday with no 
precipitation anticipated. 

Even with a couple of cold fronts moving through during the 
late week and weekend time-frame, temperatures are expected
to remain near normal to above normal for this time of year
for the majority of the forecast period. 

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   32  50  27  52 /   0   0   0   0 
FSM   33  51  28  52 /   0   0   0   0 
MLC   32  52  27  53 /   0   0   0   0 
BVO   30  49  26  51 /   0   0   0   0 
FYV   31  46  26  48 /   0   0   0   0 
BYV   33  46  28  48 /   0   0   0   0 
MKO   31  49  26  50 /   0   0   0   0 
MIO   30  46  26  49 /   0   0   0   0 
F10   32  51  27  52 /   0   0   0   0 
HHW   32  52  28  53 /   0   0   0   0 

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...30
LONG TERM....10
AVIATION.....69