353 FNUS52 KILM 190947 FWFILM Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina National Weather Service Wilmington NC 447 AM EST Thu Dec 19 2019 .DISCUSSION... Canadian high pressure will maintain cool and dry weather into Sat. The high will move off the New England coast and offshore this weekend. Low pressure across the NE Gulf of Mexico late Sat, will intensify as it moves across Florida and into the Atlantic Sun. The low will then track east-northeast away from the U.S. mainland and offshore early next week. Early this morning... Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Unfavorable. Type 1-F...Direction NE...Maximum Wind 35 mph at 1800 ft. By NOON... Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain will become Favorable by 1 pm. Fog potential for tonight is None. NCZ105>110-200200- Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover- Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick- Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro, Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport, and Sunset Beach 447 AM EST Thu Dec 19 2019 Today Tonight Fri Cloud amount Clear Clear Mclear Precip chc (%) 0 0 0 Precip type None None None LAL 1 1 1 Min/Max Temp 46 23 52 Wnd20ft/early(mph) N 8 LGT/VAR N 3 Wnd20ft/late(mph) NE 6 LGT/VAR NE 3 Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 Precip duration Inversion 34/0900 1800 42/1000 Dispersion Very Poor Max/Min RH (%) 30 61 28 DSI 1 1 Haines Index 4 4 4 Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 2940 2230 Transport wnd (mph) NE 10 NE 7 Ventilation rate 30430 15390 ADI early 42 Gen good 1 Very poor 14 Gen poor ADI late 37 Fair 2 Very poor 17 Gen poor Max LVORI early 3 3 3 Max LVORI late 2 3 2 Remarks...Brotak Profile Present. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH 88 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph. .SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 59 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain. Lows around 40. Maximum RH 94 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 71 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with rain likely. Lows around 50. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of rain 70 percent. East winds 15 to 20 mph. .MONDAY...Cloudy with rain likely. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 73 percent. Chance of rain 70 percent. Northeast winds 15 to 20 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph. .TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 66 percent. North winds 15 to 20 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 95 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 59 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ NCZ096-099-200200- Bladen-Columbus- Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw 447 AM EST Thu Dec 19 2019 Today Tonight Fri Cloud amount Clear Clear Mclear Precip chc (%) 0 0 0 Precip type None None None LAL 1 1 1 Min/Max Temp 46 23 52 Wnd20ft/early(mph) N 7 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR Wnd20ft/late(mph) NE 5 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 Precip duration Inversion 34/0900 1800 41/1000 Dispersion Very Poor Max/Min RH (%) 32 65 31 DSI 1 1 Haines Index 4 4 4 Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 2810 2070 Transport wnd (mph) NE 10 NE 5 Ventilation rate 29080 9520 ADI early 42 Gen good 1 Very poor 9 poor ADI late 35 Fair 1 Very poor 14 Gen poor Max LVORI early 3 3 3 Max LVORI late 2 3 2 Remarks...Brotak Profile Present. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH 85 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Highs around 50. Minimum RH 55 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH 90 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 69 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with rain likely. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of rain 70 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with rain likely. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 71 percent. Chance of rain 70 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Northeast winds around 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 63 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 96 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 57 percent. North winds around 5 mph. $$ NCZ087-200200- Robeson- Including the city of Lumberton 447 AM EST Thu Dec 19 2019 Today Tonight Fri Cloud amount Clear Clear Mclear Precip chc (%) 0 0 0 Precip type None None None LAL 1 1 1 Min/Max Temp 46 24 52 Wnd20ft/early(mph) N 7 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR Wnd20ft/late(mph) NE 5 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 Precip duration Inversion 33/0900 1800 41/1000 Dispersion Very Poor Max/Min RH (%) 34 66 35 DSI 1 1 Haines Index 4 4 4 Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 2640 1980 Transport wnd (mph) NE 10 NE 3 Ventilation rate 27320 6830 ADI early 40 Fair 1 Very poor 4 Very poor ADI late 34 Fair 1 Very poor 9 poor Max LVORI early 3 4 4 Max LVORI late 2 4 2 Remarks...Brotak Profile Present. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH 84 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 40s. Minimum RH 52 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH 86 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 65 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with rain likely. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Chance of rain 70 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with rain likely. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 69 percent. Chance of rain 70 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of rain. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 61 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 96 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 57 percent. North winds around 5 mph. $$ SCZ054>056-058-059-200200- Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry- Northern Horry- Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor 447 AM EST Thu Dec 19 2019 Today Tonight Fri Cloud amount Clear Clear Mclear Precip chc (%) 0 0 0 Precip type None None None LAL 1 1 1 Min/Max Temp 48 23 54 Wnd20ft/early(mph) N 8 LGT/VAR NE 3 Wnd20ft/late(mph) NE 6 LGT/VAR NE 4 Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 Precip duration Inversion 35/0900 1800 42/1000 Dispersion Very Poor Max/Min RH (%) 31 65 30 DSI 1 1 Haines Index 4 4 4 Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 2820 2180 Transport wnd (mph) NE 12 NE 8 Ventilation rate 32430 17550 ADI early 45 Gen good 1 Very poor 18 Gen poor ADI late 39 Fair 2 Very poor 19 Gen poor Max LVORI early 3 3 3 Max LVORI late 2 3 2 Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH 81 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 59 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 92 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph. .SUNDAY...Cloudy with rain likely. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 73 percent. Chance of rain 70 percent. Northeast winds 15 to 20 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Rain. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of rain 80 percent. Northeast winds 15 to 20 mph. .MONDAY...Cloudy with rain likely. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 73 percent. Chance of rain 70 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph. .TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 66 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 95 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 61 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ SCZ032-033-039-200200- Florence-Marion-Williamsburg- Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree 447 AM EST Thu Dec 19 2019 Today Tonight Fri Cloud amount Clear Clear Mclear Precip chc (%) 0 0 0 Precip type None None None LAL 1 1 1 Min/Max Temp 48 23 54 Wnd20ft/early(mph) NE 7 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR Wnd20ft/late(mph) NE 5 LGT/VAR NE 3 Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 Precip duration Inversion 34/0900 1800 41/1000 Dispersion Very Poor Max/Min RH (%) 30 69 30 DSI 1 1 Haines Index 4 4 4 Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 2670 2290 Transport wnd (mph) NE 12 NE 7 Ventilation rate 30710 15800 ADI early 42 Gen good 1 Very poor 15 Gen poor ADI late 40 Fair 1 Very poor 19 Gen poor Max LVORI early 3 4 4 Max LVORI late 2 4 2 Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH 79 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 52 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH 88 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Cloudy with rain likely. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 70 percent. Chance of rain 70 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Rain. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of rain 80 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with rain likely. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 69 percent. Chance of rain 70 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of rain. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 61 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 95 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 57 percent. North winds around 5 mph. $$ SCZ017-023-024-200200- Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon- Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville, Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon 447 AM EST Thu Dec 19 2019 Today Tonight Fri Cloud amount Clear Clear Mclear Precip chc (%) 0 0 0 Precip type None None None LAL 1 1 1 Min/Max Temp 47 23 53 Wnd20ft/early(mph) NE 7 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR Wnd20ft/late(mph) NE 4 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 Precip duration Inversion 34/0900 1800 40/1000 Dispersion Very Poor Max/Min RH (%) 33 69 35 DSI 1 1 Haines Index 4 4 4 Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 2560 2270 Transport wnd (mph) NE 10 NE 5 Ventilation rate 26500 10440 ADI early 37 Fair 1 Very poor 7 poor ADI late 35 Fair 1 Very poor 12 poor Max LVORI early 3 4 4 Max LVORI late 2 4 2 Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH 82 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs around 50. Minimum RH 49 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH 84 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Cloudy with rain likely. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Chance of rain 70 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with rain likely. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Chance of rain 70 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with rain likely. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 67 percent. Chance of rain 70 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of rain. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 94 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 59 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 95 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 56 percent. North winds around 5 mph. $$ .OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS... Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal. $$ SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE =================================================================== 0 TO 17249 1 0 TO 33499 17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999 34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999 51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999 69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND =================================================================== STAGNANT NEAR CALM CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH 2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH 6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH 9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH 14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS. LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index. $$