826 
FXUS63 KTOP 040530
AFDTOP

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Topeka KS
1130 PM CST Tue Dec 3 2019

...Update to aviation forecast discussion...

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Wednesday)
Issued at 210 PM CST Tue Dec 3 2019

As of 20Z Tuesday afternoon, northwest midlevel flow as present 
across the Central and Northern Plains as a shortwave trough digs 
southeastward into the Great Lakes region. An attendant weak surface 
trough traversed the CWA this morning and currently resides across 
southeast MO. No impactful weather is anticipated through the next 
24-36 hours as surface ridging overspreads the region tonight into 
Wednesday. Overnight lows tonight are progged to reach the lower 
30s, while afternoon highs tomorrow reach the middle 50s. 

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday night through Tuesday)
Issued at 210 PM CST Tue Dec 3 2019

Transitioning into the extended period, a predominately dry stretch 
is expected through the weekend into early next week. By Thursday, 
the midlevel low, currently off the CA coast, will traverse the 
Southern Plains as an open wave. The weak ascent coupled with meager 
available moisture yields low confidence for any measurable 
precipitation across the area. More notably, another weak front will 
accompany this shortwave, which will usher in cooler temperatures 
for late Thursday into Friday. Afternoon highs Friday will only 
reach the low to middle 40s. Beyond Friday, midlevel ridging will 
overspread the Plains, yielding quiet weather and mild temperatures. 
Highs will rebound into the 50s for Saturday and Sunday. 

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Wednesday night)
Issued at 1122 PM CST Tue Dec 3 2019

No significant change for the forecast this period. VFR conditions
prevail. Winds look to remain steady enough to keep the boundary
layer slightly mixed even with good radiational cooling. Thus,
don't think fog will play a factor even if some low lying areas do
support shallow fog. Most recent guidance appears to be in favor 
of this thinking as well. 

&&

.TOP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Baerg
LONG TERM...Baerg
AVIATION...Drake