918 FXUS64 KMOB 011707 AAB AFDMOB Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED National Weather Service Mobile AL 1107 AM CST Sun Dec 1 2019 .DISCUSSION...Updated for latest aviation discussion below. && .AVIATION... 18Z issuance...VFR conditions are expected through the period. An area of clouds with ceilings near 5 kft located mainly east of I-65 will progress eastward through the afternoon followed by clear skies. Westerly winds 10 to 15 knots become northwest overnight with a northwesterly flow continuing for the remainder of the period. /29 && .PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 1014 AM CST Sun Dec 1 2019/ DISCUSSION...See updated information for land areas below. UPDATE...Have updated to remove morning pops and also to make adjustments to sky cover for an area of clouds which will shift eastward across the area this afternoon, mainly east of I-65. Made additional adjustments to wind and temperature trends. /29 PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 544 AM CST Sun Dec 1 2019/ DISCUSSION...Updated for latest aviation discussion below. AVIATION... 12Z issuance...We will continue to mention LLWS at 2 KFT through 01.14z this morning. Expect IFR to MVFR cigs and visibilities through about 01.14z this morning followed by VFR conditions through 02.12z. Lower cigs and visibilities mostly in and around scattered to numerous showers ahead and along a cold front moving across the area early this morning. Winds will become mostly west at 8 to 13 knots with gusts to 20 knots this afternoon and early tonight becoming mostly northwest at 8 to 12 knots late this evening and overnight. 32/ee PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 512 AM CST Sun Dec 1 2019/ NEAR TERM /Now Through Sunday night/...Deep SFC to H5 area of low pressure located just west of the upper MS River Valley and lower Great Lakes region will continue to track east reaching the mid Atlantic region by mid morning Mon. This system is proceeded by a broad upper ridge stretching from the northern Mexico to the central and northern Rockies by 12z Mon. Near the SFC a cold front associated with this system is currently moving over the eastern half of the forecast area this morning progged to move east of the area by 15z this morning. This pattern will lead to clearing skies generally from west to east late this morning through this afternoon followed by mostly clear skies this evening and overnight. A thin band of showers ahead and along the front will continue to move quickly eastward exiting to the east and south with the front by mid to late morning with some residual pockets of light rain also moving east across northern sections of the forecast area possibly through about midday. Later this afternoon through early this evening a moderate to occasionally strong west to northwest flow will develop in the wake of the front with SFC temps falling to the mid to upper 50s for most inland areas generally along and west of the I-65 corridor and the lower to middle 60s to the south by late afternoon. For tonight SFC winds will slowly relax combined with mostly clear skies leading to overnight lows 4 to 6 degrees below seasonal norms. Highs today will range from the mid to upper 60s generally along and west of the i-65 corridor and the upper 60s to lower 70s to the east and south which will occur during the late morning and early afternoon hours. Lows tonight will range from the middle to upper 30s for most inland areas and the lower to middle 40s along the immediate coast. A High Risk for Rip currents can be expected along the Gulf beaches of AL and NWFL today and tonight followed by a Moderate Risk Mon through Tue. 32/ee SHORT TERM /Monday Through Tuesday night/...A deep low pressure system will continue to approach the Eastern Seaboard Monday, before moving off the Atlantic/New England coast Monday night. A deep layer dry airmass will continue to spread across our region Monday through Tuesday night in the wake of this system. Surface high pressure will also build overhead through the short term period, allowing for below normal temperatures and dry conditions. Highs on Monday will range in the lower to mid 50s. A light freeze will impact most locations north of Interstate 10 Monday night, with readings in the upper 20s to lower 30s. Lows near the immediate coast will range in the mid to upper 30s. Highs on Tuesday will be slightly warmer in the mid to upper 50s. Lows by Tuesday night remain chilly in the mid 30s to around 40 inland, with lower to mid 40s expected near the immediate coast. /21 LONG TERM /Wednesday Through Saturday/...Dry conditions are expected Wednesday into Thursday as northwest flow aloft gradually transitions more zonal. The next fast moving upper level shortwave trough will translate from the Mississippi Valley Thursday night to the southeastern states by late Friday afternoon. This feature will bring our next chance of rain showers Thursday night into Friday. Drier weather is currently anticipated on Saturday. /21 MARINE...A strong west to northwest wind flow will develop over the marine today and tonight in the wake of a cold front that moves across the region this morning. Northerly winds and seas will slowly diminish on Monday as a broad surface ridge of high pressure well to the west slowly approaches the north central Gulf. A light northerly wind will continue over the marine area through much of the week as the ridge of high pressure settles over the north central Gulf. A Small Craft Advisory remains in effect for all marine zones through 9 AM CST Mon morning. 32/ee && .MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AL...High Rip Current Risk through late tonight for ALZ265-266. FL...High Rip Current Risk through late tonight for FLZ202-204-206. MS...None. GM...Small Craft Advisory until 9 AM CST Monday for GMZ630>636. Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM CST Monday for GMZ670-675. Small Craft Advisory until noon CST Monday for GMZ650-655. && $$ This product is also available on the web at: http://weather.gov/mob