662 
FXUS65 KFGZ 302159
AFDFGZ

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
259 PM MST Sat Nov 30 2019

.SYNOPSIS...Weather conditions will improve today as the current
storm system exits the state. High temperatures will remain quite
chilly today but gradually warm to near normal by Tuesday. Dry
conditions will prevail until Wednesday and Thursday when yet
another Pacific storm will deliver breezy and cold conditions
along with rain and snow showers.

&&

.DISCUSSION...Mostly sunny skies are being observed across the
state this afternoon. A cold air mass in overhead in the wake of
the winter storm system is resulting in quite cold temperatures in
the 30s to low 40s across most of northern Arizona. Expect quiet
weather the remainder of the weekend as weak high pressure
migrates through the Southwest. High level clouds will increase
tonight and persist through Sunday. These will help to keep
overnight low temperatures from bottoming out, though they will
still dip into the teens to low 20s. Expect daytime temperatures
to warm 5 to 10 degrees on Sunday.

Another Pacific low pressure system will position itself off the
California coast early next week keeping Arizona under a mild west
to southwest flow. Expect periods of high clouds leading to mostly
cloudy skies Monday and Tuesday. Temperatures will warm to above
average Monday and Tuesday.

The Pacific low will finally move east and across Arizona on
Wednesday and Wednesday night bringing another round of rain and
snow showers. This system looks weaker than the last with less
precipitation and higher snow levels. Snow looks most likely for 
areas above 6,000 ft with mostly rain below. Mild weather looks to
return for the end of next week.

&&

.AVIATION...For the 00Z package...Mostly VFR conditions are expected 
through the TAF period. Light west surface winds will become east to 
northeast overnight. Localized 15 knot wind gusts are possible for 
areas southwest and downslope of higher terrain features tonight. 
Aviation discussion not updated for TAF amendments. 

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...Winds will turn easterly Sunday with temperatures 
warming about ten degrees. Ventilation will be poor Sunday and 
Monday with weak transport winds and low mixing heights.

Tuesday through Thursday...The warming trend with dry and fair 
weather will last through Tuesday. Wednesday will see a return of 
showers across the area with southwest winds. Coverage of showers 
will decrease by Thursday morning.

Attention, the National Weather Service in Flagstaff will begin our 
winter season once a day (morning) issuance of the Fire Weather Zone 
forecast product starting on Sunday, December 1st, 2019. We will 
return to the twice a day issuance next spring. 

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC...MCT
AVIATION...NL
FIRE WEATHER...NL


For Northern Arizona weather information visit
weather.gov/flagstaff