317 
FXUS63 KEAX 130401
AFDEAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
1001 PM CST Tue Nov 12 2019

.Discussion...
Issued at 334 PM CST TUE NOV 12 2019

No hazards are expected through this forecast period as it is 
expected to remain cool and dry. This afternoon a surface ridge of 
high pressure resides over the area which has limited mixing and 
with snow on the ground has keep temperatures 25 to 30 degrees below 
normal in the low to mid 20s. Tonight, the surface ridge will slide 
east and the pressure gradient will tighten across the area ahead of 
an approaching cold front. This will keep temperatures from falling 
to far off the highs from today with lows in the mid teens to low 
20s. Wednesday, a cold front will move through the area late in the 
day however, temperatures will be able to warm some out ahead of it 
despite increased cloud cover with highs in the upper 30s to mid 
40s. The cold front will then pass through the area late tomorrow 
afternoon into tomorrow night. Modest CAA behind the front Wednesday 
night into Thursday will keep temperatures a couple degrees cooler 
Thursday than Wednesday despite clearing skies. Another surface 
ridge of high pressure will move back into the area Thursday night 
and reside over the area through Friday night. Expect near normal 
highs Friday with highs in the mid 40s to lower 50s. Saturday the 
surface ridge will slide east with WAA allowing temperatures to rise 
into the upper 40s to mid 50s on Saturday. A weak cold front will 
pass through the area on Sunday bringing another dry cold frontal 
passage. Clouds will be on the increase however, which will cool 
temperatures off a few degrees with highs back in the mid 40s to 
lower 50s. By Monday, weak WAA will help temperatures rise back into 
the 50s.

&&

.Aviation...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Wednesday Night)
Issued at 1000 PM CST TUE NOV 12 2019

Main concern overnight continues to be potential for LLWS and will
keep that going through 15Z when deeper mixing begins allowing for
stronger gusts to the surface. Winds will veer through the
afternoon and evening ahead of a cold front that will move through
the area late in the forecast. This front will shift winds to the
north towards the end of this forecast. There may also be some
lower clouds associated with the front. For now have just added
some low VFR stratus.

&&

.EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
MO...NONE.
&&

$$

Discussion...73
Aviation...CDB