625 
FXUS64 KMEG 100239
AFDMEG

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Memphis TN
839 PM CST Sat Nov 9 2019

.UPDATE...

No major update planned. All forecast parameters are on track. 

AC3

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 526 PM CST Sat Nov 9 2019/ 

UPDATE...
Updated for 00Z Aviation Forecast Discussion below.

&& 

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 337 PM CST Sat Nov 9 2019/ 

DISCUSSION...

After a very cold start to the day temperatures have warmed 25-35
degrees across the Midsouth bringing us to current afternoon
temperatures generally in the middle 50s under clear skies.
Weak Southerly flow has returned to the region and should
strengthen over the next 24 hours.  

Sunday should be a very nice day featuring highs in the middle 
60s, a south breeze and clear skies. However, conditions are
expected to change drastically overnight as a strong winter storm
system develops and approaches from the West. Rain should move
into East Arkansas by sunrise and spread quickly across the
remainder of the Midsouth before midday. Rain will mostly be on
the back side of an arctic cold front that is expected to move 
across the Midsouth by midday. Temperatures will likely cool
through much of the day across the Midsouth. Winds will shift from
the North resulting in a cool, wet Veterans day. 

Overnight, light rain may briefly change over to snow or a wintry
mix before coming to an end before sunrise. No accumulation is
expected. The bigger impact will be extreme temperatures. 
Temperatures will plummet overnight as arctic air invades the 
Midsouth. Morning lows as most of you return to school or work 
Tuesday morning will be in the low to middle 20s with wind chills 
from around 8 to 18 degrees across much of the area. Record low 
temperatures are possible Tuesday morning, but record low-High 
temperatures are likely at all 4 of our climate sites; Memphis, 
TN, Jackson, TN, Jonesboro, AR and Tupelo, Tuesday. Highs will 
likely range from 30 to 36 degrees. These records may be broken by
over 5 degrees. Wednesday morning temperatures are expected to 
range from 16-22 across the Midsouth. Wind chills will dip to 
between 10 and 15 degrees. Wednesday morning temperatures will 
likely break records again. Portions of the Midsouth may remain 
below freezing for as long as 40 hours Monday night through Midday
Wednesday. 

Tuesday through next weekend look dry. Temperatures are expected 
to rebound quite a bit by Thursday but remain below normal through
next weekend.  

30

&&

AVIATION...
00Z TAFs

VFR and light winds to prevail again tonight, in advance of
stronger SW surface winds by 18Z Sunday. 

PWB

&&

.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
MO...None.
MS...None.
TN...None.
&&

$$