043 
FNUS75 KFGZ 051642
FWSFGZ

Spot Forecast for Turkey Creek Rx...Fort Apache Agency
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
942 AM MST Tue Nov 5 2019

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 MST on November 05. 
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the 
National Weather Service in Flagstaff, AZ

.DISCUSSION...Quiet weather is expected across the area today. 
Light upslope winds will develop again today, a cold front will 
approach the area late tonight with an increase in wind speeds 
continuing through mid-day Wednesday as the front moves through.
There will be a slight chance of some showers beginning this 
evening, but most of the shower activity will be  Wednesday 
afternoon. Quiet and dry conditions return Thursday through at 
least the weekend. 


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. 
Chance of pcpn......0 percent. 
Max temperature.....66 to 68 degrees. 
Min humidity........23 to 25 percent. 
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. 
LAL.................1. 
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume 
                    dominated fire growth. 
Max Vent Rate.......Excellent. 
Clearing Index......1058. 
Mixing height.......6800 ft agl. 
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 mph. 

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers through 
                    the night. Chance of thunderstorms overnight. 
Chance of pcpn......30 percent. 
Min temperature.....40 to 42 degrees. 
Max humidity........90 to 92 percent. 
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusts up to 15 mph overnight. 
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near 
                    thunderstorms in the evening. Gusty and erratic 
                    winds expected near thunderstorms overnight. 
LAL.................3. 
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume 
                    dominated fire growth. 
Min Vent Rate.......Poor. 
Clearing Index......2. 
Mixing height.......100 ft agl. 
Transport winds.....Southeast 5 to 10 mph. 

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Rain showers likely and chance 
                    of thunderstorms. 
Chance of pcpn......70 percent. 
Max temperature.....59 to 61 degrees. 
Min humidity........44  to 46 percent. 
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds around 10 mph shifting to the 
                    southwest in the afternoon. Gusts up to 20 mph. 
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near 
                    thunderstorms. 
LAL.................4. 
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume 
                    dominated fire growth. 
Max Vent Rate.......Excellent. 
Clearing Index......1039. 
Mixing height.......3700 ft agl. 
Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 mph increasing to around 20 mph 
                    early in the afternoon, then becoming southwest 
                    around 10 mph late in the afternoon. 

$$
Forecaster...SUK
Requested by...Michael Colelay
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1918436.1/FGZ
.DELDT 11/05/19
.FormatterVersion 1.0.26
.EMAIL azsdc@firenet.gov