486 FNUS52 KILM 180704 FWFILM Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina National Weather Service Wilmington NC 304 AM EDT Fri Oct 18 2019 .DISCUSSION... High pressure will build across the Carolinas through today. A developing tropical storm in the Gulf of Mexico will move across the Florida Panhandle Saturday, with its remnants moving near the Carolina coastline Saturday night and early Sunday. High pressure will move quickly from the Gulf of Mexico across the area later Saturday into early Sunday. The next cold front will approach from the west late Tuesday. Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable. Fog potential for tonight is Low. NCZ105>110-182315- Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover- Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick- Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro, Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport, and Sunset Beach 304 AM EDT Fri Oct 18 2019 Today Tonight Sat Cloud amount Clear Mclear Pcldy Precip chc (%) 0 0 60 Precip type None None Showers LAL 1 1 1 Min/Max Temp 67 44 71 Wnd20ft/early(mph) N 3 LGT/VAR E 3 Wnd20ft/late(mph) NW 4 LGT/VAR E 8 G21 Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.12 Precip duration 1 Inversion 49/0900 1800 59/1000 Dispersion Very Poor Max/Min RH (%) 37 88 48 DSI 2 1 Haines Index 4 4 4 Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 4620 4470 Transport wnd (mph) NW 10 SE 13 Ventilation rate 47820 56550 ADI early 32 Fair 15 Gen poor 31 Fair ADI late 40 Fair 1 Very poor 34 Fair Max LVORI early 6 4 6 Max LVORI late 1 5 3 Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SATURDAY NIGHT...Breezy. Showers and scattered thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of precipitation 90 percent. Southeast winds 20 to 25 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 74 percent. West winds 15 to 20 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 66 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 71 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 50. Maximum RH 86 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 50 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ NCZ087-096-099-182315- Robeson-Bladen-Columbus- Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw 304 AM EDT Fri Oct 18 2019 Today Tonight Sat Cloud amount Clear Mclear Pcldy Precip chc (%) 0 0 60 Precip type None None Showers LAL 1 1 1 Min/Max Temp 67 43 70 Wnd20ft/early(mph) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR E 3 Wnd20ft/late(mph) N 3 LGT/VAR E 8 Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.14 Precip duration 1 Inversion 48/0900 1800 57/1000 Dispersion Very Poor Max/Min RH (%) 33 88 43 DSI 2 1 Haines Index 4 4 4 Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 4810 3480 Transport wnd (mph) NW 8 SE 13 Ventilation rate 38720 44020 ADI early 32 Fair 10 poor 28 Fair ADI late 40 Fair 1 Very poor 31 Fair Max LVORI early 8 4 6 Max LVORI late 1 5 2 Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers and scattered thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of precipitation 90 percent. East winds 15 to 20 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 74 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. North winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 64 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 69 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers. Cooler. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 99 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 43 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 88 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 46 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. $$ SCZ054>056-058-059-182315- Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry- Northern Horry- Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor 304 AM EDT Fri Oct 18 2019 Today Tonight Sat Cloud amount Clear Mclear Mcldy Precip chc (%) 0 0 90 Precip type None None Showers LAL 1 1 1 Min/Max Temp 68 46 71 Wnd20ft/early(mph) N 3 LGT/VAR E 7 Wnd20ft/late(mph) N 4 E 4 E 12 G25 Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.38 Precip duration 6 Inversion 53/1000 1800 63/1100 Dispersion Very Poor Max/Min RH (%) 37 86 56 DSI 2 1 Haines Index 4 4 4 Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 4280 2560 Transport wnd (mph) NW 7 E 16 Ventilation rate 29530 41220 ADI early 35 Fair 9 poor 25 Fair ADI late 37 Fair 5 Very poor 33 Fair Max LVORI early 8 3 5 Max LVORI late 2 4 3 Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SATURDAY NIGHT...Breezy. Showers and scattered thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of precipitation near 100 percent. South winds 20 to 25 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 75 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 70 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 70 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 98 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 48 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 85 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 51 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ SCZ024-032-033-039-182315- Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg- Including the cities of Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree 304 AM EDT Fri Oct 18 2019 Today Tonight Sat Cloud amount Clear Mclear Mcldy Precip chc (%) 0 0 90 Precip type None None Showers LAL 1 1 1 Min/Max Temp 69 45 69 Wnd20ft/early(mph) N 3 LGT/VAR E 6 Wnd20ft/late(mph) N 3 E 4 E 10 G23 Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.42 Precip duration 5 Inversion 54/1000 1800 58/1000 Dispersion Very Poor Max/Min RH (%) 33 86 50 DSI 2 1 Haines Index 4 4 4 Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 4510 1900 Transport wnd (mph) NW 6 E 14 Ventilation rate 25930 26220 ADI early 40 Fair 6 Very poor 24 Fair ADI late 41 Gen good 4 Very poor 24 Fair Max LVORI early 8 4 5 Max LVORI late 2 5 3 Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers near 100 percent. Northeast winds 15 to 20 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 73 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. North winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 66 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 67 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers. Cooler. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 97 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 44 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 88 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 47 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. $$ SCZ017-023-182315- Marlboro-Darlington- Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville, Darlington, and North Hartsville 304 AM EDT Fri Oct 18 2019 Today Tonight Sat Cloud amount Clear Mclear Pcldy Precip chc (%) 0 0 70 Precip type None None Showers LAL 1 1 1 Min/Max Temp 69 45 68 Wnd20ft/early(mph) N 3 LGT/VAR E 5 Wnd20ft/late(mph) N 3 E 3 E 9 G22 Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.32 Precip duration 2 Inversion 54/1000 1800 57/1000 Dispersion Very Poor Max/Min RH (%) 31 86 45 DSI 2 1 Haines Index 4 4 4 Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 5030 2460 Transport wnd (mph) NW 6 E 14 Ventilation rate 28920 33950 ADI early 43 Gen good 7 poor 25 Fair ADI late 44 Gen good 2 Very poor 27 Fair Max LVORI early 7 3 5 Max LVORI late 2 5 2 Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers 90 percent. Northeast winds 15 to 20 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 71 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 63 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 64 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers. Cooler. Lows around 50. Maximum RH 91 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 41 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 88 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. $$ .OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS... Temperatures below normal. Precipitation above normal. $$ SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE =================================================================== 0 TO 17249 1 0 TO 33499 17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999 34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999 51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999 69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND =================================================================== STAGNANT NEAR CALM CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH 2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH 6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH 9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH 14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS. LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index. $$