404 FNUS53 KAPX 120707 FWFAPX Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan National Weather Service Gaylord MI 307 AM EDT Sat Oct 12 2019 ...Gust winds and much cooler temperatures... .DISCUSSION...Low pressure slowly pivoting across the northern Great Lakes this weekend will bring cool conditions and gusty winds into the early stages of this upcoming week. After mostly rain-free weather today, showers will once again increase in coverage tonight and Sunday, with the most numerous showers targeting the favored Lake Michigan lake effect belts. Relative humidity values will remain elevated for the next several days. MIZ016-017-021>023-099-122015- Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency Counties- 307 AM EDT Sat Oct 12 2019 .TODAY... Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Isolated rain showers until 1200. Max Temperature.....45-50. 24 HR Trend......20 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........42-47 percent. 24 HR Trend......17 percent drier...except 10 percent drier along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph with occasional gusts up to 28 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (1260). Mixing Height.......5100 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southwest 21 to 24 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.05 in. .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Scattered rain showers until 2400, then periods of rain showers. Min Temperature.....38-43. 24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer. Max Humidity........90-95 percent...except 81-86 percent along the coast. 24 HR Trend......6 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 15 mph with occasional gusts up to 28 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Smoke Dispersal.....Fair (170). Mixing Height.......800 ft agl. Transport Winds.....South around 21 mph. Pcpn Amount.........0.03-0.50 in. .SUNDAY... Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Rain showers until 1200, then rain showers likely. Max Temperature.....44-49. 24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........60-65 percent. 24 HR Trend......19 percent wetter...except 14 percent wetter along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 15 mph with occasional gusts up to 28 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (640). Mixing Height.......3100 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southwest around 21 mph. Pcpn Amount.........0.05-0.30 in. $$ MIZ018-024-030-036-042-122015- Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac Counties...including Eastern Huron NF- 307 AM EDT Sat Oct 12 2019 .TODAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Max Temperature.....47-52. 24 HR Trend......17 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........42-47 percent. 24 HR Trend......21 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph with occasional gusts up to 24 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (1190). Mixing Height.......4800 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southwest 18 to 24 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in. .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Scattered rain showers after 2400. Min Temperature.....37-42...except 44-49 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer. Max Humidity........82-87 percent...except 65-70 percent along the coast. 24 HR Trend......7 percent drier...except 14 percent drier along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 15 mph with occasional gusts up to 28 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Smoke Dispersal.....Fair (140). Mixing Height.......500 ft agl. Transport Winds.....South around 21 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.09 in. .SUNDAY... Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Chance of rain showers. Max Temperature.....48-53...except 41-46 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......Unchanged. Min Humidity........54-59 percent. 24 HR Trend......19 percent wetter...except 13 percent wetter along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 15 mph with occasional gusts up to 24 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (860). Mixing Height.......3700 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southwest 21 to 24 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.10 in. $$ MIZ020-025>027-122015- Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL- 307 AM EDT Sat Oct 12 2019 .TODAY... Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Isolated rain showers until 1200. Max Temperature.....46-51. 24 HR Trend......18 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........43-48 percent. 24 HR Trend......29 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 15 mph with occasional gusts up to 32 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (1460). Mixing Height.......4900 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southwest 24 to 27 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.04 in. .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Numerous rain showers until 2400, then periods of rain showers. Min Temperature.....37-42...except 44-49 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer. Max Humidity........88-93 percent...except 74-79 percent along the coast. 24 HR Trend......4 percent drier...except 15 percent drier along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 15 mph with occasional gusts up to 32 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Smoke Dispersal.....Good (340). Mixing Height.......1400 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southwest 21 to 24 mph. Pcpn Amount.........0.23-0.56 in. .SUNDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Periods of rain showers until 1200, then rain showers likely. Max Temperature.....44-49. 24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........60-65 percent. 24 HR Trend......18 percent wetter...except 12 percent wetter along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 15 mph with occasional gusts up to 28 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Smoke Dispersal.....Good (580). Mixing Height.......2800 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southwest around 21 mph. Pcpn Amount.........0.09-0.18 in. $$ MIZ031>033-122015- Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the northern quarter of Manistee NF- 307 AM EDT Sat Oct 12 2019 .TODAY... Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Isolated rain showers until 1200. Max Temperature.....45-50. 24 HR Trend......18 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........43-48 percent. 24 HR Trend......33 percent drier...except 28 percent drier along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph with occasional gusts up to 28 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (1430). Mixing Height.......4700 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southwest 21 to 27 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None. .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Scattered rain showers until 2400, then numerous rain showers. Min Temperature.....36-41. 24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer. Max Humidity........90-95 percent...except 80-85 percent along the coast. 24 HR Trend......5 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph with occasional gusts up to 28 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Smoke Dispersal.....Fair (260). Mixing Height.......1100 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southwest 21 to 24 mph. Pcpn Amount.........0.19-0.60 in. .SUNDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Rain showers until 1200, then rain showers likely. Max Temperature.....42-47. 24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........60-65 percent. 24 HR Trend......18 percent wetter...except 11 percent wetter along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph with occasional gusts up to 28 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Smoke Dispersal.....Good (580). Mixing Height.......2800 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southwest around 21 mph. Pcpn Amount.........0.10-0.19 in. $$ MIZ028-029-034-035-041-122015- Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin Counties...including Western Huron NF- 307 AM EDT Sat Oct 12 2019 .TODAY... Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent). Max Temperature.....46-51. 24 HR Trend......18 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........41-46 percent. 24 HR Trend......25 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph . Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (1220). Mixing Height.......4500 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southwest 18 to 24 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None. .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Scattered rain showers after 2400. Min Temperature.....37-42. 24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer. Max Humidity........80-85 percent. 24 HR Trend......10 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 20 mph. Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (120). Mixing Height.......500 ft agl. Transport Winds.....South 18 to 21 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.24 in. .SUNDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Rain showers likely. Max Temperature.....47-52. 24 HR Trend......Unchanged. Min Humidity........52-57 percent. 24 HR Trend......17 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph . Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Smoke Dispersal.....Good (590). Mixing Height.......2800 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southwest 18 to 21 mph. Pcpn Amount.........0.02-0.13 in. $$ .EXTENDED... .COLUMBUS DAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS AROUND 50. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. $$ MB