785 
FXUS64 KSJT 052010
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
310 PM CDT Sat Oct 5 2019

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight and Sunday)

...A Cold Front and Possible Rain...

A cold front will move into West Central Texas tomorrow and bring
the potential for rain, along with cooler temperatures, for mainly
the Big Country. Meanwhile, surface winds, from the south tonight,
will help produce overnight lows well above usual early October
lows. Short-term models bring the front to our Interstate 20
corridor tomorrow afternoon. Current timing has surface winds from
the north, along and north of our Interstate 20 corridor, around 
3 PM CDT Sunday. Along and ahead of the front, showers and
thunderstorms may develop.

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday Night through Saturday)

...Possible Rain and Finally Turning Cooler...

The potential for rain will continue into Sunday night, as this
first cold front moves farther south. Then, dry conditions will
dominate through mid week, before another cold front late week
brings another shot of cold air, along with the potential for more
rain. The GFS 500mb height ensemble data this forecast cycle shows
members remain in fairly good agreement, through the end of this
week. As an upper trough deepens, over the northwestern CONUS,
another surge of cold air moves toward the south, across the
Central and Southern Plains. By the start of next weekend,
temperatures should be in line with early October temperatures,
and hopefully much of West Central Texas will have received
beneficial rain.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene 	 70  93  53  74 /   5  30  70   5 
San Angelo 	 69  94  58  77 /   5  20  70  10 
Junction 	 68  95  59  78 /   0   5  60  20 
Brownwood 	 68  94  55  75 /   0  20  70  10 
Sweetwater 	 68  90  52  72 /   5  20  50   5 
Ozona      	 68  92  57  75 /   5  10  60  30 

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$