748 FXUS62 KFFC 050754 AFDFFC Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Peachtree City GA 354 AM EDT Sat Oct 5 2019 .PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 933 PM EDT Fri Oct 4 2019/ UPDATE... Weak frontal boundary continues across southern portions of the outlook area. Almost all of the isolated shower activity has died down with the exception of the far SW corner. This activity will drop south and continue to weaken. Have tweaked the MinT and hourly T grids a bit upwards a couple of degrees according to current trends. PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 725 PM EDT Fri Oct 4 2019/ PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 328 PM EDT Fri Oct 4 2019/ SHORT TERM /Tonight through Saturday Night/... Hot weather is expected to continue across the area the rest of this afternoon and evening with a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms across mainly central Georgia. High temperatures today are in the upper 90s to lower 100s, still 18 to 23 degrees above average. In addition, daily high temperature records have already been broken at all 4 primary climate sites. Luckily, a pattern change is on the way and finally, we will see some relief from the pattern we have been stuck in!! As the upper level ridge continues to weaken, a wedge begins to build into the area early Saturday. With some moisture associated with the wedge, have included have slight chance to chance pops across the area on Saturday morning into the evening in addition to much gustier winds across the area. The best news is that the wedge should also provide us with some very much welcomed cooler temperatures, especially for portions of northeastern Georgia which are expected to be much cooler than the temperatures we have been seeing recently. Overall, high temperatures on Saturday will vary across the area, but for those within the wedge high temperatures are expected to be in the 70s, very close to seasonal norms. For those further southeast, 80s to lower 90s will be possible, which should at least be a slight relief from the temperatures in the low 100s that we are seeing today. Reaves LONG TERM /Sunday through Friday/... At the onset of the long-term forecast period Sunday, the area will remain in easterly surface flow as the "wedge-like" pattern will be slow to break down. Despite this pattern, temperatures will remain several degrees above normal Sunday and Monday, though nowhere near the record-breaking temperatures of late. While generally isolated showers or thunderstorms cannot be ruled out Sunday afternoon, coverage will be relatively sparse. More significant rain chances will increase across north Georgia on Monday as a cold front approaches from the northwest. There will be limited dynamics and instability with this front as it enters the CWA Monday, so a strong/severe thunderstorm threat is not currently anticipated. The front will progress from north into central Georgia from Monday into Tuesday with lingering shower and thunderstorm chances through Tuesday. Overall forecast QPF still remains relatively limited with the highest amounts near a half inch across far north Georgia. By late week, the post-frontal surface high will progress eastward from the Great Lakes region into New England and ridge down the Appalachians. This will keep relatively cool easterly flow across the CWA. Temperatures will range from the mid 70s to mid 80s across the area, still several degrees above normal but the coolest so far this season. Another cold front will likely will approach the area by late week into next weekend, but significant timing discrepancies remain between models. RW && .AVIATION... 06Z Update... Increasing clouds with gusty east winds today. Skies mostly clear right now but will see increasing MVFR ceilings as moist easterly flow sets up just after sunrise. Will see Ceilings in the 1500 to 3000ft range across the area as the lower ceilings move in. Winds are out of the NE right now but will turn to the East over the next few hours wind speeds are in the 8-10kt range right now but will see speeds increase into the 10-14kt range with gust to 23kt by 14-16z. The winds will stay out of the east through the period but the speeds will loose the gust by sunset. Will see some light showers but they will be isolated. No restrictions to VSBYs expected. //ATL Confidence...06Z Update... Confidence medium to high on all elements. 01 && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Athens 74 61 80 63 / 40 10 20 20 Atlanta 81 64 81 67 / 30 20 20 20 Blairsville 70 56 73 59 / 20 20 30 30 Cartersville 83 63 83 65 / 20 20 20 20 Columbus 93 69 87 68 / 30 20 20 20 Gainesville 71 61 78 64 / 30 20 20 20 Macon 88 65 86 65 / 30 20 30 20 Rome 85 63 83 65 / 20 20 20 30 Peachtree City 85 63 83 65 / 30 20 20 20 Vidalia 86 68 86 67 / 40 30 40 10 && .FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NONE. && $$ SHORT TERM...01 LONG TERM....King AVIATION...01