144 FNUS52 KILM 300821 FWFILM Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina National Weather Service Wilmington NC 421 AM EDT Mon Sep 30 2019 .DISCUSSION... Strong high pressure aloft will maintain hot, rain-free weather until a cool front drops down from the north tonight and Monday. Dry and more seasonable weather will follow ahead of slow warm up through mid week. A stronger cold front late next week could finally announce the arrival of fall Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable. Fog potential for tonight is Low. NCZ105>110-010030- Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover- Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick- Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro, Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport, and Sunset Beach 421 AM EDT Mon Sep 30 2019 Today Tonight Tue Cloud amount PCldy PCldy MClear Precip chc (%) 0 0 0 Precip type None None None LAL 1 1 1 Min/Max Temp 86 64 85 Wnd20ft/early(mph) NE 5 NE 5 NE 5 Wnd20ft/late(mph) NE 8 NE 4 NE 6 Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 Precip duration Inversion 74/0600 1900 70/0900 Dispersion Fair Max/Min RH (%) 60 95 50 DSI 2 2 Haines Index 3 2 3 Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 4560 5470 Transport wnd (mph) NE 13 NE 13 Ventilation rate 57680 69200 ADI early 31 Fair 42 Gen good 36 Fair ADI late 46 Gen good 3 Very poor 48 Gen good Max LVORI early 6 5 6 Max LVORI late 3 7 1 Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 95 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 94 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 54 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 94 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY...Sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 52 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 84 percent. Chance of precipitation 30 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Not as warm. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 49 percent. Northeast winds 15 to 20 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 88 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 52 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph. $$ NCZ087-096-099-010030- Robeson-Bladen-Columbus- Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw 421 AM EDT Mon Sep 30 2019 Today Tonight Tue Cloud amount PCldy PCldy MClear Precip chc (%) 0 0 0 Precip type None None None LAL 1 1 1 Min/Max Temp 87 64 86 Wnd20ft/early(mph) NE 5 NE 3 NE 4 Wnd20ft/late(mph) NE 7 NE 3 NE 4 Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 Precip duration Inversion 75/0900 1900 70/0900 Dispersion Poor Max/Min RH (%) 54 96 47 DSI 2 3 Haines Index 3 3 3 Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 4780 6040 Transport wnd (mph) NE 12 NE 13 Ventilation rate 54970 76410 ADI early 28 Fair 42 Gen good 37 Fair ADI late 45 Gen good 2 Very poor 53 Gen good Max LVORI early 6 5 7 Max LVORI late 3 8 1 Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 47 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 93 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 46 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 91 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 45 percent. West winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers. Cooler. Lows around 60. Maximum RH 80 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Not as warm. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 87 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 46 percent. East winds around 5 mph. $$ SCZ054>056-058-059-010030- Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry- Northern Horry- Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor 421 AM EDT Mon Sep 30 2019 Today Tonight Tue Cloud amount PCldy PCldy MClear Precip chc (%) 0 0 0 Precip type None None None LAL 1 1 1 Min/Max Temp 88 65 86 Wnd20ft/early(mph) NE 4 E 5 NE 5 Wnd20ft/late(mph) E 7 NE 4 NE 6 Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 Precip duration Inversion 77/1000 1900 71/0900 Dispersion Fair Max/Min RH (%) 56 97 51 DSI 2 2 Haines Index 3 3 3 Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 4890 5380 Transport wnd (mph) NE 13 NE 12 Ventilation rate 61860 61870 ADI early 30 Fair 39 Fair 35 Fair ADI late 47 Gen good 2 Very poor 47 Gen good Max LVORI early 7 6 7 Max LVORI late 3 7 2 Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 93 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 52 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 93 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 52 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 94 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY...Sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 51 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 83 percent. Chance of precipitation 30 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph. .SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Not as warm. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 49 percent. Northeast winds 15 to 20 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 86 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 53 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph. $$ SCZ032-033-039-010030- Florence-Marion-Williamsburg- Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree 421 AM EDT Mon Sep 30 2019 Today Tonight Tue Cloud amount PCldy PCldy MClear Precip chc (%) 0 0 0 Precip type None None None LAL 1 1 1 Min/Max Temp 89 65 87 Wnd20ft/early(mph) NE 3 E 4 NE 4 Wnd20ft/late(mph) NE 7 NE 3 NE 5 Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 Precip duration Inversion 77/1000 1900 71/0900 Dispersion Poor Max/Min RH (%) 52 99 47 DSI 2 3 Haines Index 3 3 3 Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 5550 5900 Transport wnd (mph) NE 12 NE 13 Ventilation rate 63830 74630 ADI early 28 Fair 40 Fair 39 Fair ADI late 49 Gen good 2 Very poor 57 Gen good Max LVORI early 7 6 8 Max LVORI late 2 9 1 Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 96 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 46 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 95 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 46 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 93 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 45 percent. West winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 78 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Not as warm. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 87 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 49 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ SCZ017-023-024-010030- Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon- Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville, Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon 421 AM EDT Mon Sep 30 2019 Today Tonight Tue Cloud amount PCldy PCldy MClear Precip chc (%) 0 0 0 Precip type None None None LAL 1 1 1 Min/Max Temp 89 65 88 Wnd20ft/early(mph) NE 4 E 4 NE 4 Wnd20ft/late(mph) NE 7 NE 3 NE 4 Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 Precip duration Inversion 75/0900 1900 71/0900 Dispersion Poor Max/Min RH (%) 52 96 46 DSI 2 3 Haines Index 3 3 3 Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 5400 6230 Transport wnd (mph) NE 9 NE 12 Ventilation rate 49680 71650 ADI early 24 Fair 39 Fair 38 Fair ADI late 41 Gen good 2 Very poor 55 Gen good Max LVORI early 6 5 7 Max LVORI late 2 7 1 Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 94 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 44 percent. Light and variable wind. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 90 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 43 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 87 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 41 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 75 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Not as warm. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 41 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 85 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 44 percent. East winds around 5 mph. $$ .OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS... Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal. $$ SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE =================================================================== 0 TO 17249 1 0 TO 33499 17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999 34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999 51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999 69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND =================================================================== STAGNANT NEAR CALM CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH 2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH 6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH 9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH 14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS. LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index. $$