271 
FNUS75 KFGZ 211108
FWSFGZ

Spot Forecast for IKES...USFS
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
408 AM MST Sat Sep 21 2019

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0600 MST on September 21. 
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the 
National Weather Service in Flagstaff, AZ

.DISCUSSION...Look for dry conditions and light winds with mild 
daytime temperatures today and Sunday. Ventilation during 
the afternoons will remain good to very good but overnight, with a 
dry air mass in place, strong inversions and drainage flows will 
develop. The afternoon Haines Index will range from 4 to 5.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny. 
Chance of pcpn......0 percent. 
Max temperature.....Around 65. 
Min humidity........14 percent. 
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds at 1 to 5 mph until 8:00 AM becoming
                    west-southwest at 5 to 10 mph. 
LAL.................1. 
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated 
                    fire growth. 
Max Vent Rate.......Good. 
Clearing Index......632. 
Mixing height.......7900 ft agl. 
Transport winds.....Southeast around 5 mph shifting to the west in 
                    the late morning and afternoon. 

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear. 
Chance of pcpn......0 percent. 
Min temperature.....32-39. 
Max humidity........30-50 percent. 
Wind (20 ft)........Light and variable winds until 9:00 PM becoming
                    northeast at 2 to 4 mph. 
LAL.................1. 
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated 
                    fire growth. 
Min Vent Rate.......Poor. 
Clearing Index......1. 
Mixing height.......1500 ft agl. 
Transport winds.....Northeast 5 to 10 mph. 

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. 
Chance of pcpn......0 percent. 
Max temperature.....Around 69. 
Min humidity........14 percent. 
Wind (20 ft)........Light and variable winds. 
LAL.................1. 
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume 
                    dominated fire growth. 
Max Vent Rate.......Very good. 
Clearing Index......851. 
Mixing height.......6200 ft agl. 
Transport winds.....East around 5 mph shifting to the south in the 
                    late morning and early afternoon, then shifting 
                    to the southwest around 15 mph late in the 
                    afternoon. 

$$
Forecaster...MCCOLLUM
Requested by...Jack Yancick
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1915215.10/FGZ
.DELDT 09/21/19
.FormatterVersion 1.0.26
.EMAIL danielle.spendlove@usda.gov,saguaroWFM@gmail.com,jay_yancick@nps.gov