351 FXUS63 KIND 170840 AFDIND Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Indianapolis IN 440 AM EDT Tue Sep 17 2019 .UPDATE... The Aviation section has been updated below. && .SYNOPSIS... Issued at 345 AM EDT Tue Sep 17 2019 An upper level ridge will dominate the area much of the period, with dry weather expected through at least Saturday. Chances for storms may increase over the weekend into early next week as a frontal zone moves into the region. && .NEAR TERM /Today/... Issued at 345 AM EDT Tue Sep 17 2019 Expect mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies today as the ridge axis will be right overhead. Bumped max temps up slightly as the blend has been running a little cool lately. Expect highs in the 80s once again across the entire area. && .SHORT TERM /Tonight through Thursday Night/... Issued at 345 AM EDT Tue Sep 17 2019 A dry forecast will suffice throughout the short term as the ridge only makes very slow progress to the east. Continued warmth and ample sunshine can be expected each day. Highs will generally be in the mid to upper 80s. && .LONG TERM /Friday through Monday/... Issued at 338 AM EDT Tue Sep 17 2019 As the long term begins an upper ridge is in place over central Indiana with dry weather and above normal temperatures. The upper ridge begins to move to the east and flattens some on Saturday and this will allow an upper wave to head through the Great Lakes and Ohio valley. This will bring chances for showers and thunderstorms overspreading central Indiana Saturday night. Models are showing the potential for a front to get hung up somewhere in the area, and this could lead to more than one round of beneficial rainfall. Confidence is low in this scenario this far out, though, with ensemble solution spread as well as the current dry soil conditions. With the increase in cloud cover and precip potential as well as falling heights, high temperatures should drop to near normal for Sunday and Monday. && .AVIATION /Discussion for the 170900Z TAF Issuance/... Issued at 440 AM EDT Tue Sep 17 2019 Updated current conditions at KIND only. Continuing to monitor satellite loop for LIFR cloud deck spreading south toward KLAF, but thus far it has had trouble advancing so no changes made there. Previous discussion follows... Would not rule out brief MVFR or worse fog 09z-13z at KLAF and perhaps the other smaller airports per the GFS LAMP. However, if northeast winds can stay up through the night, the fog should be light. Otherwise, confidence is high in VFR flying conditions through the TAF period. North and northeast winds to 6 knots will become predominately northeast and perhaps east after around 13z. && .IND WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE. && $$ SYNOPSIS...Nield NEAR TERM...Nield SHORT TERM...Nield LONG TERM...CP AVIATION...MK/CP