287 
FXUS64 KHUN 081104
AFDHUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Huntsville AL
604 AM CDT Sun Sep 8 2019

.UPDATE...
For 12Z TAFS.

&&

.NEAR TERM...(Today)
Issued at 315 AM CDT Sun Sep 8 2019

Quiet weather early this morning with high pressure in control across
the region. Other than some light river valley fog in the Paint Rock
and Flint basins, a clear sky is prevailing, allowing temperatures to
drop into the upper 50s to lower 60s by daybreak. A quick recovery is
expected, however, as strong subsidence from the ridge will result in
a clear sky and dry conditions as temperatures soar into the low to
mid 90s by this afternoon. Very limited cloud cover will result in a
beautiful, but hot early September day once again. 

.SHORT TERM...(Tonight through Tuesday)
Issued at 315 AM CDT Sun Sep 8 2019

The center of the upper-ridge will begin to shift east into the 
Tennessee Valley early this week as it becomes centered over Northern
Alabama. This pattern will continue to favor unseasonably hot
temperatures and mainly dry conditions. With this 594 dm ridge
amplifying over the area, we'll continue to see an uptick in
temperatures with highs peaking in the mid to upper 90s both days. In
fact, given the very dry soil and plenty of insolation, a few 
locations may reach the 100 degree mark. Strong subsidence should 
significantly limit the potential of diurnal convection on Monday.
However, with the with the mean surface flow veering to the S/SW by 
Tuesday, expect enough moisture to creep back into the area to 
generate a few isolated showers and thunderstorms on Tuesday. 

.LONG TERM...(Tuesday night through Saturday)
Issued at 315 AM CDT Sun Sep 8 2019

The upper ridge will continue to remain the dominant weather feature
across the Tennessee Valley region throughout the remainder of the
week ahead. For this reason, expect continued hot and mainly dry 
weather with plenty of sunshine, with highs in the mid 90s each day.
There will be sufficient moisture underneath this ridge to warrant a
mention of isolated storms on Wednesday and again on Saturday, thanks
to more southerly flow. The position of the ridge will create more 
easterly flow on Thursday and Friday which should limit moisture
return ever so slightly. For this reason, models are hinting at a 
drier forecast and thus have taken mentionable PoPs out of the 
forecast for those days. 

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Monday morning)
Issued at 604 AM CDT Sun Sep 8 2019

VFR conditions will prevail through the TAF period at KHSV and KMSL
with clear skies and light northerly winds.  

&&

.HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
TN...NONE.
&&

$$

NEAR TERM...AMP.24
SHORT TERM...AMP.24
LONG TERM...AMP.24
AVIATION...31


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