470 
FXUS63 KICT 051143
AFDICT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
643 AM CDT Thu Sep 5 2019

...Updated for Aviation Discussion...

.SHORT TERM...(Today through Saturday night)
Issued at 250 AM CDT Thu Sep 5 2019

Upper ridge remains anchored from the northern/central Rockies 
across the central/southern high Plains. The heat will return 
today across the area with diurnally gusty south to southwest 
winds over central Kansas. The airmass looks a bit drier in the 
mean southwest low level flow, so dew points and likewise heat 
indices should be a little less oppressive. Another weak cold 
front is progged to move south across Kansas during Friday with 
slightly cooler (not as hot) weather, more noticeable closer to 
the I-70 corridor in central Kansas. This looks to be another dry 
frontal passage with rather modest low level moisture/instability 
where capping inversion should be sufficient to mitigate chances 
for convection. The upper ridge will begin to break down by Friday
night and Saturday as a shortwave upper trof moves across the 
northern Rockies into the northern Plains. Very warm southerly 
flow will return to Kansas with temperatures on Saturday well 
above seasonal climo again. 

Darmofal

.LONG TERM...(Sunday through Wednesday)
Issued at 250 AM CDT Thu Sep 5 2019

A stronger upper trof still looks to move off the Pacific across 
the western CONUS on Sunday, before lifting northeast across the 
northern Plains on Monday. Some semblance of a mean upper trof 
looks to reload and progress across a portion of the western CONUS
through Tuesday and Wednesday. While confidence is high for a 
continuation of above average temperatures, it is relatively lower
on daily precip chances/trends. A frontal boundary may sag into 
the area late in the weekend and provide a focus for convection 
and perhaps just east of a lee side trof early next week. If so, 
this looks to mainly affect western and northern potions of 
central Kansas. 

KED

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Friday morning)
Issued at 640 AM CDT Thu Sep 5 2019

VFR conditions will prevail the next 24 hours across the region. 
Patchy fog will impact southeast KS early this morning, with 
breezy/gusty south to southwest winds common areawide by late 
morning, strongest northwest of the KS Turnpike.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Wichita-KICT    95  67  92  66 /   0   0   0   0 
Hutchinson      96  66  90  64 /   0   0   0   0 
Newton          94  67  89  65 /   0   0   0   0 
ElDorado        93  68  90  65 /   0   0   0   0 
Winfield-KWLD   94  68  93  67 /   0   0   0   0 
Russell         97  66  88  63 /   0   0   0   0 
Great Bend      96  66  88  64 /   0   0   0   0 
Salina          96  67  87  63 /   0   0   0   0 
McPherson       95  66  88  64 /   0   0   0   0 
Coffeyville     92  69  92  67 /   0   0   0   0 
Chanute         92  69  90  64 /   0   0   0   0 
Iola            91  68  89  64 /   0   0   0   0 
Parsons-KPPF    91  69  91  66 /   0   0   0   0 

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...None. 

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...KED
LONG TERM...KED
AVIATION...ADK