754 FXUS62 KFFC 131859 AFDFFC Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Peachtree City GA 259 PM EDT Tue Aug 13 2019 .SHORT TERM /Tonight through Wednesday Night/... Current radar loop shows showers and thunderstorms developing across the state this afternoon. There is also a line of storms moving south out of TN/NC but they appear to be diminishing a bit as they cross the Appalachians. A frontal boundary is also expected to move into N GA tonight bringing more showers and thunderstorms into the area with it. This frontal boundary is still expected to diminish as it pushes south into the state so the convective activity along it will also weaken and diminish through the early Wednesday morning hours. Over all instability Today and Wednesday is still expected to be marginal at best so not expecting much in the way of severe storms. The best location for any severe storms to occur will be N GA as the front moves in tonight but again, still expecting things to weaken. The possibility of seeing a few strong storms across Central GA today and a bit further northward Wed is still in the picture and can not be ruled out. Gusty winds, frequent lightning strikes and locally heavy rainfall will be the most likely treats from any storms that develop. 01 && .LONG TERM /Thursday through Tuesday/... The long term period begins with a broad trough across the area, between high pressure situated to the west and the east. At the surface across the local area, a front is expected to be splitting the area and moving south into central Georgia. Drier air looks to filter in behind the front, keeping portions of northwest Georgia fairly dry for Thursday through Saturday. For central Georgia, the front is expected to move very slowly south of the area, keeping at least chance to likely pops across portions of central Georgia through the first half of the weekend. as that front stalls across central Georgia. By Sunday through the first half of next week, more widespread moisture returns to the area bringing a more diurnal pattern of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoons and evenings. Overall, high temperatures through the extended are expected to be in the mid-to-upper 80s to lower 90s, around 1 to 5 degrees above average. Temperatures overnight are expected in the upper 60s and low 70s, around 1 to 7 degrees above average. Reaves && .AVIATION... 18Z Update... Showers and thunderstorms popping across the area this afternoon. Winds are mainly out of the W to NW but seeing some VRB reading across the state with the convective activity. Wind speeds expected to stay 10kt or less except will see some gust to 20kt in and around any thunderstorms. Ceilings and VSBYs expected to stay VFR as well but will see some MVFR readings in and around thunderstorms. //ATL Confidence...18Z Update... Confidence medium to high on all elements 01 && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Athens 75 94 72 92 / 30 40 40 10 Atlanta 77 92 73 91 / 30 40 40 10 Blairsville 69 85 64 85 / 60 20 20 10 Cartersville 74 91 70 91 / 40 30 20 10 Columbus 78 95 75 93 / 20 70 60 20 Gainesville 75 91 71 90 / 40 30 30 10 Macon 77 96 74 93 / 10 70 60 30 Rome 74 92 70 92 / 40 20 20 10 Peachtree City 76 94 72 92 / 30 50 40 10 Vidalia 78 97 76 92 / 10 60 60 60 && .FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for the following zones: Baldwin...Banks...Barrow...Bartow...Bibb...Bleckley... Butts...Carroll...Catoosa...Chattahoochee...Chattooga... Cherokee...Clarke...Clayton...Cobb...Coweta...Crawford...Crisp... Dade...Dawson...DeKalb...Dodge...Dooly...Douglas...Emanuel... Fayette...Floyd...Forsyth...Glascock...Gordon...Greene... Gwinnett...Hall...Hancock...Haralson...Harris...Heard...Henry... Houston...Jackson...Jasper...Jefferson...Johnson...Jones... Lamar...Laurens...Macon...Madison...Marion...Meriwether... Monroe...Montgomery...Morgan...Murray...Muscogee...Newton... North Fulton...Oconee...Oglethorpe...Paulding...Peach... Pickens...Pike...Polk...Pulaski...Putnam...Rockdale...Schley... South Fulton...Spalding...Stewart...Sumter...Talbot... Taliaferro...Taylor...Telfair...Toombs...Treutlen...Troup... Twiggs...Upson...Walker...Walton...Warren...Washington... Webster...Wheeler...Whitfield...Wilcox...Wilkes...Wilkinson. Heat Advisory from noon to 8 PM EDT Wednesday for the following zones: Baldwin...Bibb...Bleckley...Butts...Chattahoochee... Clarke...Clayton...Coweta...Crawford...Crisp...Dodge...Dooly... Emanuel...Fayette...Glascock...Greene...Hancock...Harris... Heard...Henry...Houston...Jasper...Jefferson...Johnson...Jones... Lamar...Laurens...Macon...Marion...Meriwether...Monroe... Montgomery...Morgan...Muscogee...Newton...Oconee...Oglethorpe... Peach...Pike...Pulaski...Putnam...Rockdale...Schley...Spalding... Stewart...Sumter...Talbot...Taliaferro...Taylor...Telfair... Toombs...Treutlen...Troup...Twiggs...Upson...Walton...Warren... Washington...Webster...Wheeler...Wilcox...Wilkes...Wilkinson. && $$ SHORT TERM...01 LONG TERM....Reaves AVIATION...01