622 
FNUS76 KMFR 091302
FWSMFR

Spot Forecast for East Evans Fire...SWO Medford
National Weather Service Medford OR
602 AM PDT Fri Aug 9 2019

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0600 PDT on August 09. 
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 5 PM PDT
   SATURDAY FOR ABUNDANT LIGHTNING ON DRY FUELS...

.DISCUSSION...An upper level low will move through the area
beginning today, and this will bring scattered showers and 
thunderstorms to the burn site beginning this afternoon. Showers 
and thunderstorms will continue tonight into Saturday evening as 
the low moves inland. Winds will be gusty and erratic near 
thunderstorms. Saturday will be unseasonably cool. Dry and warmer
weather will return Sunday into early next week. 

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and 
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon. 
Max temperature.....82-84. 
Min humidity........30-34 percent. 
Eye level winds.....Variable to 2 mph becoming northwest 2-4 mph in
                    the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected 
                    near thunderstorms in the afternoon. 
Wind (20 ft)........Variable to 5 mph becoming northwest 5-10 mph in
                    the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected 
                    near thunderstorms in the afternoon. 
Mixing height.......Near surface rising to 6000 ft AGL this afternoon.
Transport winds.....Light becoming west 10 mph. 
CWR.................20 percent. 
LAL.................3. 

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and 
                    thunderstorms in the evening, then showers 
                    likely and a slight chance of thunderstorms 
                    after midnight. 
Min temperature.....57-59. 
Max humidity........85-89 percent. 
Eye level winds.....Northwest 2-4 mph becoming variable to 2 mph.
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near 
                    thunderstorms. 
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest 5-10 mph becoming variable to 5 mph.
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near 
                    thunderstorms. 
Mixing height.......6000 ft AGL decreasing to 1500 ft AGL. 
Transport winds.....West 10 mph becoming variable 5 mph. 
CWR.................50 percent. 
LAL.................3. 

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Showers likely and a slight chance of 
                    thunderstorms in the morning, then showers and 
                    a chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. 
Max temperature.....73-75. 
Min humidity........49-53 percent. 
Eye level winds.....Variable to 2 mph. Gusty and erratic winds 
                    expected near thunderstorms. 
Wind (20 ft)........Variable to 5 mph. Gusty and erratic winds 
                    expected near thunderstorms. 
Mixing height.......1500 ft AGL increasing to 8000 ft AGL in the
                    afternoon. 
Transport winds.....Variable 5 mph becoming west 10 mph. 
CWR.................70 percent. 
LAL.................3.

$$
Forecaster...STOCKTON
Requested by...Curt Snow
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1913196.12/MFR
.DELDT 08/09/19