297 FNUS52 KILM 061923 FWFILM Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina National Weather Service Wilmington NC 323 PM EDT Tue Aug 6 2019 .DISCUSSION... Bermuda high pressure will slip farther offshore as a weak cold front approaches the Carolinas from the west on Wednesday. The front should stall inland from the coast late Wednesday night, remaining stalled through late this week. The front may slip offshore by Sunday. Fog potential for tonight is Low. NCZ105>110-071130- Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover- Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick- Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro, Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport, and Sunset Beach 323 PM EDT Tue Aug 6 2019 Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu Cloud amount MClear MClear PCldy PCldy Precip chc (%) 0 40 40 30 Precip type None Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 1 3 3 3 Min/Max Temp 72 92 72 92 Wnd20ft/early(mph) S 5 SW 4 S 8 SW 6 Wnd20ft/late(mph) SW 3 SW 8 SW 6 SW 7 Precip amount 0.00 0.02 0.08 0.03 Precip duration 1 1 2 Inversion 2000 77/0800 2100 72/0600 Dispersion Poor Fair Max/Min RH (%) 96 50 98 47 DSI 3 3 Haines Index 3 3 3 3 Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 6540 6530 Transport wnd (mph) SW 13 W 14 Ventilation rate 82730 90110 ADI early 25 Fair 45 Gen good 41 Gen good 33 Fair ADI late 1 Very poor 52 Gen good 11 poor 61 Good Max LVORI early 5 7 4 7 Max LVORI late 7 1 6 1 Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 90 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .FRIDAY...Sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 46 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 88 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 54 percent. North winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 55 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 93 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 57 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 94 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 54 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ SCZ054>056-058-059-071130- Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry- Northern Horry- Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor 323 PM EDT Tue Aug 6 2019 Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu Cloud amount MClear MClear PCldy PCldy Precip chc (%) 0 30 30 30 Precip type None Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 1 3 3 3 Min/Max Temp 71 93 72 93 Wnd20ft/early(mph) S 5 SW 4 S 8 W 5 Wnd20ft/late(mph) SW 3 SW 7 SW 5 SW 6 Precip amount 0.00 0.02 0.02 0.02 Precip duration 0 1 1 Inversion 2000 78/0900 2100 75/0700 Dispersion Poor Fair Max/Min RH (%) 99 50 98 48 DSI 3 3 Haines Index 3 3 3 4 Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 6880 7360 Transport wnd (mph) SW 13 W 12 Ventilation rate 87030 84640 ADI early 21 Fair 44 Gen good 45 Gen good 42 Gen good ADI late 2 Very poor 54 Gen good 6 Very poor 60 Gen good Max LVORI early 6 8 4 8 Max LVORI late 8 1 8 1 Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 90 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 46 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 87 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 54 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 57 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 58 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 55 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ NCZ087-096-099-071130- Robeson-Bladen-Columbus- Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw 323 PM EDT Tue Aug 6 2019 Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu Cloud amount MClear PCldy PCldy MClear Precip chc (%) 0 40 50 20 Precip type None Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 1 3 3 2 Min/Max Temp 72 93 71 93 Wnd20ft/early(mph) S 4 SW 4 S 6 W 4 Wnd20ft/late(mph) LGT/VAR SW 7 SW 3 W 5 Precip amount 0.00 0.03 0.20 0.02 Precip duration 1 2 1 Inversion 2000 76/0800 2000 75/0800 Dispersion Very Poor Poor Max/Min RH (%) 98 45 100 42 DSI 3 3 Haines Index 3 3 3 3 Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 6640 6870 Transport wnd (mph) SW 15 NW 13 Ventilation rate 99270 86910 ADI early 23 Fair 44 Gen good 48 Gen good 28 Fair ADI late 1 Very poor 70 Good 3 Very poor 60 Gen good Max LVORI early 5 8 5 9 Max LVORI late 8 1 9 1 Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 88 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 39 percent. West winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 86 percent. West winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...Sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 47 percent. North winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 49 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 51 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 47 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ SCZ032-033-039-071130- Florence-Marion-Williamsburg- Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree 323 PM EDT Tue Aug 6 2019 Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu Cloud amount MClear MClear PCldy MClear Precip chc (%) 30 30 30 20 Precip type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 3 3 3 2 Min/Max Temp 71 93 72 93 Wnd20ft/early(mph) S 3 SW 4 S 7 W 4 Wnd20ft/late(mph) LGT/VAR SW 7 SW 4 W 6 Precip amount 0.05 0.02 0.08 0.02 Precip duration 0 0 1 1 Inversion 2000 79/0900 2000 74/0800 Dispersion Very Poor Fair Max/Min RH (%) 99 45 99 43 DSI 3 3 Haines Index 3 3 3 4 Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 7090 7360 Transport wnd (mph) SW 13 NW 10 Ventilation rate 89690 76180 ADI early 23 Fair 44 Gen good 51 Gen good 36 Fair ADI late 1 Very poor 61 Good 6 Very poor 54 Gen good Max LVORI early 6 9 4 9 Max LVORI late 8 1 9 1 Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 89 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 40 percent. West winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 86 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 46 percent. North winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 50 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 50 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 48 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ SCZ017-023-024-071130- Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon- Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville, Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon 323 PM EDT Tue Aug 6 2019 Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu Cloud amount MClear PCldy PCldy MClear Precip chc (%) 0 30 40 20 Precip type None Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 1 3 3 2 Min/Max Temp 72 93 71 93 Wnd20ft/early(mph) S 3 SW 3 SW 5 W 4 Wnd20ft/late(mph) S 3 SW 7 SW 3 W 5 Precip amount 0.00 0.03 0.09 0.01 Precip duration 0 2 1 Inversion 2000 79/0900 2000 74/0800 Dispersion Poor Poor Max/Min RH (%) 97 46 99 41 DSI 3 3 Haines Index 3 3 4 4 Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 7320 7260 Transport wnd (mph) SW 16 NW 10 Ventilation rate 117850 75140 ADI early 28 Fair 41 Gen good 52 Gen good 28 Fair ADI late 2 Very poor 78 Good 3 Very poor 51 Gen good Max LVORI early 5 8 5 9 Max LVORI late 7 1 9 1 Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 87 percent. West winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 38 percent. West winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 85 percent. West winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...Sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 44 percent. North winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 94 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 48 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 47 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 94 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 46 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ .OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS... Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal. $$ SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE =================================================================== 0 TO 17249 1 0 TO 33499 17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999 34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999 51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999 69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND =================================================================== STAGNANT NEAR CALM CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH 2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH 6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH 9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH 14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS. LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index. $$