168 
FXUS63 KTOP 240849
AFDTOP

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Topeka KS
349 AM CDT Wed Jul 24 2019

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 319 AM CDT Wed Jul 24 2019

As of 08Z Wednesday morning, a very amplified midlevel flow
pattern resides across the CONUS with troughing in the east and
ridging in the west. The ridge axis is progged to deamplify over
the next 18-24 hours as a trough, which is currently coming 
ashore across the Pacific Northwest, ejects across the Northern 
Rockies. At the surface, an expansive surface ridge axis extends
from the Southern Plains through the Upper Midwest, resulting in
predominately clear skies with light winds. That being said, some
cloud cover remains across far eastern KS where nearly calm winds
through the boundary layer have yet to mix out moisture from
the diurnal cumulus field Tuesday afternoon. Otherwise, a cool and
comfortable night is ongoing across eastern KS with temperatures
in the upper 50s and 60s. No impactful weather is anticipated 
through the remainder of the day and tonight. Afternoon 
temperatures are expected to reach the low to mid 80s while overnight
lows reach the lower 60s. 

.LONG TERM...(Thursday through Tuesday)
Issued at 319 AM CDT Wed Jul 24 2019

Transitioning into the extended period, the aforementioned
midlevel trough across the Pacific Northwest will eject eastward
and deepen a surface trough across the High Plains. This will in-
turn allow southerly low-level flow to overspread the Plains. As a
result, a warming trend will continue into the upcoming weekend
with temperatures returning to the 90s for the weekend. The next 
chance for rainfall looks to arrive late Sunday into Monday as a 
secondary midlevel trough ejects across the Northern Plains, 
shunting the aforementioned surface trough through the CWA. 

&&

.AVIATION...
Issued at 605 PM CDT Tue Jul 23 2019

Dry air and a lack of forcing should maintain VFR conditions into
Wednesday evening.


&&

.TOP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Baerg
LONG TERM...Baerg
AVIATION...Wolters