054 
FXUS63 KGID 231110
AFDGID

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Hastings NE
610 AM CDT Tue Jul 23 2019

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 311 AM CDT Tue Jul 23 2019

Another day of pleasant weather/temps and less humid conditions.

Aloft the pattern reflects an upper ridge of high pressure over the 
Rockies, a low pressure trough edging toward the Pacific Northwest 
and to the east an upper trough extended from Quebec south towards 
the gulf coast states. At the surface, high pressure was centered 
over south central Nebraska and good radiating conditions existed
during the predawn hours with clear skies and calm winds. 

Short term models continue to indicate the potential for a little 
fog development toward daybreak along the surface ridge axis with 
high resolution models suggesting the better potential for 
development in the river valleys. Will continue to monitor 
obs/trends through the early this morning as obs so far indicate 
only minimal drops in vsbys at times to around 7 miles.

Today's weather will be very similar to Monday with negligible 
change in airmass...and it'll be hard to find a complaint. The 
surface ridge axis across our area will keep winds fairly light, 
humidity levels will remain low with dps in the 50s and our late 
July temps will average several degrees below normal with highs in 
the upper 70s/around 80F.

Tonight we'll see the surface ridge axis migrate east of the 
Missouri river, with return flow of southerly winds setting up 
across the plains. The western ridge axis will begin to build into 
our area, setting the stage for warming trend for the middle of the 
week. 

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday through Monday)
Issued at 311 AM CDT Tue Jul 23 2019

On Wednesday, the aforementioned upper low in the Pacific 
Northwest translates inland and dampens the western ridge. 
Convective initiation is possible across the front range/high 
plains Wednesday aftn/eve and some remnant activity may edge into
our western/northern zones Wednesday night aided by a strengthening
low level jet. Otherwise, with the main energy associated with 
progressing systems remaining across Canada and the northern 
plains states later this week, overall chances for precip across 
our area remain minimal. Temps will see a warming trend into the 
weekend, ahead of another Canadian upper low which is expected to
deepen a trough in the upper midwest by early next week. Small chances
for precip return to the forecast intermittently late Saturday 
into early Monday as the pattern trends more progressive, but
timing/placement will dependent upon shortwave timing and 
boundary locations which will be refined as things get closer.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 12Z KGRI/KEAR TAFS through 12Z Wednesday)
Issued at 605 AM CDT Tue Jul 23 2019

There have been a few reports of patchy fog around the area, but 
only 1 out of 13 airports in the forecast area are reporting any 
reduction in visibility so decided to drop mention of BR in TAFs. 
Winds will be light today with FEW to SCT mid to high clouds this
afternoon.

&&

.GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...None.
KS...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Fay
LONG TERM...Fay
AVIATION...Beda