796 
FXUS64 KLUB 120653 CCA
AFDLUB

Area Forecast Discussion...CORRECTED
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
153 AM CDT Fri Jul 12 2019

.DISCUSSION...
Seasonally typical 4-Corners upper level high pressure ridge will
remain the dominant feature until Monday or Tuesday. Early to mid
week the ridge is expected to expand east into the southern 
plains and weaken slightly behind departing tropical cyclone 
remnants (far to our east) and as Pacific wave energy skirts by to
the north.

Through the weekend at least, steering flow will remain from the
northeast and subsidence drying will continue. This argues for 
minimal consideration of thunderstorms. The pattern through the 
weekend also typically is quite warm but not especially hot and 
actually could see slight dewpoint drops at least on the Caprock. 

With the flattening ridge next week, however, low level flow may 
become a little more southerly and allow several or more degrees 
of warming. But the expanded ridge also could become prone to 
development of a weakness over the southern Rockies and southern 
high plains as monsoonal moisture improves just to our west next 
week. Solutions are not strongly indicating such a weakness or 
pulling significant monsoonal moisture back to the east, but this 
would not be unexpected as long as the new ridge center holds to 
our east late next week. Until better indications of significantly
improved monsoonal flow, dry will dominate with only low thunder 
chances favoring our western border at times next week. RMcQueen

&&

.LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

05/99