325 
FNUS75 KTWC 051621
FWSTWC

Spot Forecast for Blue River...USFS
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
921 AM MST Fri Jul 5 2019

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1300 MST on July 05. 

.DISCUSSION...An increase in moisture at the fire site will result
in a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms developing this
afternoon in the vicinity of the fire site. Gusty and erratic winds
are possible in/near any thunderstorm activity. A few showers and
thunderstorms will remain possible overnight with better chances of
mainly afternoon showers and thunderstorms on Saturday. Some wetting
rains are expected within the cores/center of the thunderstorms, 
otherwise wetting rains are not expected. 

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and 
                    thunderstorms. 
Max temperature.....82 to 85 degs. 
Min humidity........20 to 23 pct. 
20-foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. 
LAL.................3. 
CWR.................20 percent. 
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated 
                    fire growth. 
Mixing Height.......10500 ft AGL. 
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 8 knots. 

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers 
                    and thunderstorms. 
Min temperature.....51 to 54 degs. 
Max humidity........60 to 63 pct. 
20-foot Winds.......West winds 4 to 8 mph shifting to the south 
                    around 5 mph overnight. 
LAL.................3. 
CWR.................20 percent. 
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated 
                    fire growth. 
Mixing Height.......6300 ft AGL decreasing to 100 ft AGL. 
Transport Winds.....Southeast 4 to 5 knots. 

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and 
                    thunderstorms in the morning, then chance of 
                    showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. 
Max temperature.....83 to 86 degs. 
Min humidity........20 to 23 pct. 
20-foot Winds.......East winds 4 to 8 mph shifting to the south 5 
                    to 10 mph in the afternoon. 
LAL.................4. 
CWR.................10 percent until 1200...then 30 percent. 
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume 
                    dominated fire growth. 
Mixing Height.......2600 ft AGL increasing to 5600 ft AGL early in 
                    the morning, then increasing to 9100 ft AGL 
                    late in the morning increasing to 9700 ft AGL 
                    early in the afternoon decreasing to 6700 ft 
                    AGL. 
Transport Winds.....East around 5 knots shifting to the southwest 
                    around 7 knots in the afternoon. 

$$
Forecaster...LADER
Requested by...Show Low Dispatch
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1911566.2/TWC

Visit us on Facebook...Twitter...YouTube...and at weather.gov/Tucson