595 
FNUS76 KLOX 030016
FWSLOX

Spot Forecast for MTO/CRP Training Exercise...Montecito Fire
National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA
516 PM PDT Tue Jul 2 2019

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0900 PDT on July 03. 
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
A weak upper level trough will sag southward across southern
California through Independence Day. For the Rx area, a very slight
cooling trend is expected Wednesday through Thursday, with very
little change in humidities expected. Low clouds are forecast to 
move over the site from the southeast Wednesday morning, and again 
late Wednesday night into early Thursday, but there is a 40% chance 
that the cloud deck may not extend over the Rx area. The chances of
low cloud coverage are higher Thursday morning. Otherwise clear
conditions are expected with weak southwest to west flow during the
afternoon to evening hours. 

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming sunny. 
Max temperature.....Around 73. 
Min humidity........47-53 percent. 
Eye level winds.....Variable/ downslope winds 2 to 3 mph becoming 
                    southwest 3 to 6 mph in the afternoon. 
Wind (20 ft)........ 
 Slope/valley.......North winds 3 to 5 mph becoming southwest 6 to 12
                    mph in the afternoon. 
Mixing height.......1200 ft AGL rising to 2000 ft AGL. 
Transport winds.....Light winds becoming west 5 to 10 mph. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear. 
Min temperature.....Around 60. 
Max humidity........80-85 percent. 
Eye level winds.....Southwest to west winds 4 to 7 mph becoming 
                    north to northeast 3 to 5 mph overnight. 
Wind (20 ft)........ 
 Slope/valley.......Southwest to west winds 8 to 15 mph becoming
                    north to northeast 6 to 10 mph overnight. 
Mixing height.......1500 ft AGL lowering to 1000 ft AGL overnight. 
Transport winds.....West 5 mph becoming light. 

.INDEPENDENCE DAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming sunny. 
Max temperature.....70-73. 
Min humidity........46-53 percent. 
Eye level winds.....Variable/ downslope winds 1 to 3 mph becoming 
                    southwest 4 to 6 mph in the afternoon. 
Wind (20 ft)........ 
 Slope/valley.......Northeast winds 2 to 5 mph becoming southwest 
                    8 to 12 mph in the afternoon. 
Mixing height.......1300 ft AGL rising to 2000 ft AGL in the 
                    afternoon. 
Transport winds.....Light winds becoming west 5 to 10 mph. 

$$
Forecaster...SMITH
Requested by...Shaun Davis
Type of request...OTHER
.TAG 1911690.0/LOX
.DELDT 07/03/19
.FormatterVersion 1.0.25
.EMAIL shaunpd@sbcglobal.net