405 FXUS63 KICT 291137 AFDICT Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Wichita KS 637 AM CDT Sat Jun 29 2019 .SHORT TERM...(Today through Monday night) Issued at 204 AM CDT Sat Jun 29 2019 A mid/upper ridge over the Central High Plains is progged to build slowly north and east across the Central Plains as we move through the weekend. As it does, deep layer easterly flow will develop on the southern periphery of the H5 ridge leading to mostly benign weather conditions across the area. A subtle shortwave trough is progged to move southwest around the H5 ridge and inserted some low probabilities for an isolated storm or two across mainly southeast KS today as the airmass remains buoyant and weakly capped. Maintained the heat advisory for a sliver of our area as heat indices waver around 105 across portions of our central KS counties. Temperatures will remain warm today but deep layer easterly flow will allow values to moderate as we move into Sun & Mon and additional heat headlines are not anticipated. .LONG TERM...(Tuesday through Friday) Issued at 204 AM CDT Sat Jun 29 2019 The mid/upper ridge across the Central Plains is progged to break down at the beginning of the period as a shortwave trough lifts out of the Southern Plains region bringing at least a subtle increase in pops across the area on Tue-Thu. Rising heights and increasing thickness may return towards the end of the period but maintained low pops across the area with seasonably mild temperatures. && .AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Sunday morning) Issued at 626 AM CDT Sat Jun 29 2019 VFR conditions will prevail area wide throughout the TAF period with light southerly winds and mostly clear skies. However, a low chance of VCSH possible this evening at KCNU. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Wichita-KICT 96 73 92 70 / 0 0 0 0 Hutchinson 98 72 93 70 / 0 0 0 0 Newton 96 73 91 70 / 0 0 0 0 ElDorado 95 74 91 70 / 10 0 0 0 Winfield-KWLD 96 74 91 70 / 10 0 0 0 Russell 103 74 96 70 / 0 0 0 0 Great Bend 100 72 96 70 / 0 0 0 0 Salina 98 75 92 71 / 0 0 0 0 McPherson 98 73 93 69 / 0 0 0 0 Coffeyville 94 74 90 70 / 20 10 0 0 Chanute 94 73 91 70 / 10 10 0 0 Iola 94 73 91 70 / 10 10 0 0 Parsons-KPPF 93 74 90 70 / 20 10 0 0 && .ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... Heat Advisory from 1 PM this afternoon to 8 PM CDT this evening for KSZ033-049. && $$ SHORT TERM...MWM LONG TERM...MWM AVIATION...KMB