619 
FXUS65 KFGZ 180352
AFDFGZ

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
855 PM MST Mon Jun 17 2019

.SYNOPSIS...Any remaining showers and thunderstorms near the Utah 
border will end by Midnight MST. On Tuesday, only isolated storms 
are possible near the Utah border, with dry and warm conditions on 
Wednesday. Expect windier and dry weather on Thursday and Friday. 
Near critical fire weather conditions will develop later this week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...Convection slowly dying out and moving to the north 
and northeast this evening. The low responsible for the convection 
is weakening and moving southwest away from the area, allowing for 
more stable and drier air to move in Tuesday and Wednesday. This 
will bring a warming trend and will quickly limit daytime convection 
to the northern zones Tuesday, with nearly nothing by Wednesday.

The warming trend will be short-lived, as more low pressure develops 
over the Great Basin later this week and into the weekend. This will 
bring a dry and windy pattern to the area, with the seasons first 
critical fire weather conditions likely arriving.

Current forecast has these trends well covered, no updates needed 
tonight.

&&

.AVIATION...For the 06Z package...Look for VFR conditions over the 
next 24 hours. A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms Tuesday 
afternoon north of a KFLG-KRQE line. Generally light winds, except 
near any storms where wind gusts to 40 mph will be possible. 
Aviation discussion not updated for TAF amendments.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...Chances for showers and thunderstorms will be 
limited to near the Utah state border on Tuesday afternoon and 
evening. Otherwise, light west to southwest afternoon breezes and 
near-normal temperatures will continue through Wednesday.

Thursday through Saturday...Relative humidity values will remain 
low. West to southwest wind speeds will begin to increase Thursday 
and be strongest on Friday. Near-critical fire weather conditions 
are possible Thursday and Friday before a slight cooling trend 
begins Saturday. 

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC...Peterson
AVIATION...McCollum
FIRE WEATHER...NL


For Northern Arizona weather information visit
weather.gov/flagstaff