787 
FNAK71 PAFC 152334
FWSAER

Spot Forecast for Swan Lake Fire...USFWS
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
334 PM AKDT Sat Jun 15 2019

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1700 AKDT on June 15. 
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
A series of weak weather fronts move north and fall apart along the
north Gulf over the next couple of day. The majority of rain associated
with these features will fall over and to the east of the Kenai Mountains.
Precipitation over the fire area will be limited to passing rain showers
which will not likely drop more than a couple hundreds of an inch of rain.
Easterly winds will increase this afternoon and could get somewhat gusty
but should become light around midnight before switching to the northeast. 

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Scattered rain showers. 
CWR.................10 percent. 
Chance of pcpn......40 percent. 
LAL.................1. 
Min temperature.....Around 47. 
Max humidity........87 percent. 
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 6 to 10 mph gusts 15 mph becoming northeast around 
                    5 mph after 3 am. 
Mixing height.......6100-7700 ft AGL lowering to 1000-1500 ft after midnight. 
Transport winds.....East 9 to 14 mph. 
Pcpn amount.........0.02 inches. 

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Scattered rain showers. 
CWR.................10 percent. 
Chance of pcpn......30 percent. 
LAL.................1. 
Max temperature.....Around 67. 
Min humidity........46 percent. 
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds around 5 mph early in the 
                    morning becoming light, then becoming east 
                    around 5 mph late in the afternoon. 
Mixing height.......7700 ft AGL. 
Transport winds.....East around 9 mph. 
Pcpn amount.........0.02 inches. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Scattered rain showers. 
CWR.................10 percent. 
Chance of pcpn......30 percent. 
LAL.................1. 
Min temperature.....Around 48. 
Max humidity........86 percent. 
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 7 mph in the evening 
                    becoming light. 
Mixing height.......2500 ft AGL. 
Transport winds.....Southeast 2 to 6 mph. 
Pcpn amount.........0.01 inches. 

$$
Forecaster...Clay
Requested by...Chris Moore
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1910744.5/AER
.DELDT 06/15/19
.EMAIL chmoore@blm.gov