400 
FXUS64 KSJT 121711
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
1211 PM CDT Wed Jun 12 2019

.AVIATION...
/18Z TAFS/

Any remaining MVFR ceilings should improve quickly to start the
forecast period leaving VFR conditions in place. Winds will 
generally be light and should shift to a more southerly direction by
the end of the forecast period.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 609 AM CDT Wed Jun 12 2019/ 

AVIATION...
/12Z TAFS/

Expect MVFR ceilings at the KSOA/KSJT terminals until 15-16Z. 
Also, some patchy fog at the KJCT terminal until 15Z, with vsbys 
down to 2SM. Expect VFR conditions this afternoon through tonight.
Also, a few thunderstorms possible at the KABI terminal until 15Z.

21

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 250 AM CDT Wed Jun 12 2019/ 

SHORT TERM...
(Today and Tonight)

Scattered thunderstorms were moving southeast across across the 
western Red River Valley into far northwest Texas. Some of these 
storms will make into the Big Country this morning. Going with 
chance Pops and up to likely across Throckmorton County. This 
activity will end by early this afternoon. Otherwise, going with a 
mainly dry forecast after 18Z. Highs will be in the lower to mid 
80s. Overnight lows will be in the lower to mid 60s.  

LONG TERM...
(Thursday through Tuesday)

On Thursday, upper level ridging will be over Northwest Mexico
with northwest flow aloft continuing over Texas. Convection will
likely develop in the Texas Panhandle in association with an upper
level short-wave, and it's possible that this convection will make
it down into at least the Big Country counties Thursday night as
the short-wave moves into Oklahoma. Moist and warm southerly flow
will return Thursday, with highs forecast to be in the upper 80s.

Any precipitation from the aforementioned short-wave should exit
by late Friday morning, and zonal flow aloft will prevail during
the day Friday. Strengthening thermal ridging at 850 mb Friday
through the weekend will bring pretty good warming. Highs Friday
should be in the low 90s and then the mid to upper 90s Saturday 
and Sunday.

Expect it to continue to be hot Monday and Tuesday highs in the
mid 90s), while a trough over the Desert Southwest will bring 
southwest flow aloft over our region. A short-wave or two may come
near West Central Texas, potentially resulting in some
thunderstorm activity.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene 	 62  86  69  93 /  10  20  30  10 
San Angelo 	 64  89  70  93 /  10  10   5  10 
Junction 	 66  89  70  93 /  10  10   0   0 
Brownwood 	 63  86  67  92 /  10  10  10   5 
Sweetwater 	 63  85  68  93 /  10  20  30   5 
Ozona      	 65  86  69  90 /  10  10   5   0 

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

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