091 
FNUS75 KGJT 120444
FWSGJT

Spot Forecast for 186...USFS
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
1044 PM MDT Tue Jun 11 2019

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 2300 MDT on June 11. 
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Typical upslope/downslope winds are expected with gusts up to 
15-20 mph in the afternoons. There is a chance for afternoon showers
and thunderstorms today and Thursday. Today the showers may stay
to the east of the site, but will develop much closer on Thursday.
Erratic and gusty winds are possible with these showers and storms
as well as lightning. Chance of wetting rain will remain below 10%.

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10%). 
Max temperature.....75-80 F. 
Min humidity........14-19%. 
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5-10 MPH shifting to the 
                    southwest with gusts up to 15 MPH in the 
                    afternoon. 
Smoke dispersal.....Fair increasing to very good in the afternoon. 
Haines Index........5 or moderate. 
LAL.................1. 
Mixing height.......6500 ft AGL increasing to 10900 ft AGL in the 
                    afternoon. 
Transport winds.....West 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40%). 
Min temperature.....46-51 F. 
Max humidity........45-50%. 
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5-10 MPH shifting to the 
                    northeast overnight. 
Smoke dispersal.....Very good decreasing to poor (12000 knot-ft) 
                    overnight. 
Haines Index........6 or high. 
LAL.................1. 
Mixing height.......10300 ft AGL decreasing to 2600 ft AGL 
                    overnight. 
Transport winds.....West 14 MPH shifting to the east 5 MPH 
                    overnight. 

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30%) then becoming partly 
                    cloudy (30-40%). Isolated showers and 
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon 
Max temperature.....76-81 F. 
Min humidity........12-17%. 
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5-10 MPH shifting to the 
                    southwest with gusts to around 20 mph in the
                    afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good increasing to excellent in the afternoon. 
Haines Index........5 or moderate. 
LAL.................1. 
Mixing height.......8000 ft AGL increasing to 13400 ft AGL in the 
                    afternoon. 
Transport winds.....Southeast 10 MPH shifting to the west 18 MPH in 
                    the afternoon. 

$$
Forecaster...Kris Sanders
Requested by...Nate
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1910759.0/GJT
.DELDT 06/11/19
.FormatterVersion 1.0.26
.EMAIL codrc@firenet.gov