906 
FXUS64 KLUB 102334
AFDLUB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
634 PM CDT Fri May 10 2019

.AVIATION...
Poor flying conditions will continue through Saturday morning in
IFR conditions, mainly at LBB and PVW. CDS could see IFR ceilings 
at times after midnight, but MVFR levels are more likely. Showers
will end from W-E later this evening, with IFR ceilings improving to
MVFR by midday.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 241 PM CDT Fri May 10 2019/ 

DISCUSSION...

It has been chilly and rainy today with temperatures only in the 40s 
this afternoon. Steady showers have brought up to half an inch of 
rain so far. As an upper level low moves down the west coast this 
weekend, several shortwaves will move through the long wave trough 
bringing lift for more showers and thunderstorms for the South 
Plains. Southwesterly flow will bring moisture in from the Pacific 
and PWATS are 0.75 to 1 inch this weekend, which is above 75% of 
normal. Expect precip to be mostly showers but there is enough 
instability for some occasional thunder as well. While temperatures 
will be about 10-15 degrees warmer tomorrow, clouds will keep highs 
in the 60s. Early next week the upper level low will open up as it 
moves across central Texas. The low continues to track south, which 
would keep the highest precip chances in our southern counties 
Monday night and Tuesday. As the low moves overhead on Monday, 
vorticity with the low will make thunder more likely. Upper level 
ridging will build in mid week allowing our temperatures to return 
to normal with highs in the low 80s with low rain chances. 

&&

.LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

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