367 FNUS52 KILM 101220 FWFILM Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina National Weather Service Wilmington NC 820 AM EDT Fri May 10 2019 .DISCUSSION... S and SW winds can be expected through the weekend ahead of a slowly approaching cold front. The front could bring a few storms Saturday and Sunday, some possible severe Sunday. The front will cross the area late Monday, with high pressure building from the NW Tuesday. Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable. Fog potential for tonight is Low. NCZ105>110-110430- Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover- Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick- Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro, Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport, and Sunset Beach 820 AM EDT Fri May 10 2019 Today Tonight Sat Cloud amount PCldy PCldy PCldy Precip chc (%) 0 0 20 Precip type None None Tstms LAL 1 1 3 Min/Max Temp 83 64 83 Wnd20ft/early(mph) LGT/VAR S 6 S 3 Wnd20ft/late(mph) S 6 S 3 S 7 Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.01 Precip duration 1 Inversion 70/0900 1900 72/0900 Dispersion Poor Max/Min RH (%) 47 95 52 DSI 3 2 Haines Index 4 4 4 Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 6850 6320 Transport wnd (mph) SW 8 S 17 Ventilation rate 55140 109020 ADI early 45 Gen good 33 Fair 32 Fair ADI late 39 Fair 3 Very poor 53 Gen good Max LVORI early 6 5 7 Max LVORI late 2 7 1 Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 97 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 51 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Cooler. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 90 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 36 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 81 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 37 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 88 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 42 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ NCZ087-096-099-110430- Robeson-Bladen-Columbus- Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw 820 AM EDT Fri May 10 2019 Today Tonight Sat Cloud amount PCldy PCldy PCldy Precip chc (%) 0 0 40 Precip type None None Tstms LAL 1 1 3 Min/Max Temp 85 64 84 Wnd20ft/early(mph) LGT/VAR S 5 S 3 Wnd20ft/late(mph) S 5 S 3 S 6 Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.06 Precip duration 1 Inversion 71/1000 1900 72/0900 Dispersion Poor Max/Min RH (%) 44 96 48 DSI 3 2 Haines Index 4 3 3 Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 6340 5940 Transport wnd (mph) SW 8 S 15 Ventilation rate 51040 88800 ADI early 32 Fair 34 Fair 36 Fair ADI late 35 Fair 4 Very poor 49 Gen good Max LVORI early 7 4 8 Max LVORI late 2 7 1 Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 96 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 45 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Cooler. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 90 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 34 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 82 percent. North winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 34 percent. West winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 88 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 38 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ SCZ054>056-058-059-110430- Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry- Northern Horry- Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor 820 AM EDT Fri May 10 2019 Today Tonight Sat Cloud amount PCldy PCldy PCldy Precip chc (%) 0 0 0 Precip type None None None LAL 1 1 1 Min/Max Temp 83 64 84 Wnd20ft/early(mph) LGT/VAR S 6 S 3 Wnd20ft/late(mph) S 6 S 3 S 7 Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 Precip duration Inversion 68/0800 1900 72/0900 Dispersion Poor Max/Min RH (%) 49 95 52 DSI 3 2 Haines Index 4 4 4 Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 5530 5940 Transport wnd (mph) S 7 S 13 Ventilation rate 38160 75140 ADI early 46 Gen good 27 Fair 32 Fair ADI late 31 Fair 3 Very poor 39 Fair Max LVORI early 6 5 7 Max LVORI late 2 7 2 Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 99 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 49 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 86 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 37 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 78 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 38 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 88 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 41 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ SCZ032-033-039-110430- Florence-Marion-Williamsburg- Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree 820 AM EDT Fri May 10 2019 Today Tonight Sat Cloud amount PCldy PCldy PCldy Precip chc (%) 0 0 30 Precip type None None Tstms LAL 1 1 2 Min/Max Temp 85 64 85 Wnd20ft/early(mph) LGT/VAR S 5 S 3 Wnd20ft/late(mph) S 4 S 3 S 6 Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.04 Precip duration 1 Inversion 71/1000 1900 72/0900 Dispersion Poor Max/Min RH (%) 46 95 49 DSI 3 2 Haines Index 3 3 4 Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 4760 5950 Transport wnd (mph) S 7 S 12 Ventilation rate 32840 68430 ADI early 27 Fair 25 Fair 31 Fair ADI late 27 Fair 3 Very poor 40 Fair Max LVORI early 7 4 7 Max LVORI late 2 7 2 Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 57 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 44 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Cooler. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 87 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 34 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 79 percent. North winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 34 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 60. Maximum RH 90 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 36 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ SCZ017-023-024-110430- Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon- Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville, Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon 820 AM EDT Fri May 10 2019 Today Tonight Sat Cloud amount PCldy PCldy PCldy Precip chc (%) 0 0 40 Precip type None None Tstms LAL 1 1 2 Min/Max Temp 85 65 84 Wnd20ft/early(mph) LGT/VAR S 5 S 4 Wnd20ft/late(mph) S 5 S 4 S 6 Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.10 Precip duration 2 Inversion 70/0900 1900 72/0900 Dispersion Fair Max/Min RH (%) 47 95 51 DSI 3 2 Haines Index 3 3 3 Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 5200 5820 Transport wnd (mph) S 8 S 14 Ventilation rate 41860 80320 ADI early 27 Fair 29 Fair 34 Fair ADI late 32 Fair 4 Very poor 44 Gen good Max LVORI early 6 4 7 Max LVORI late 2 7 2 Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 44 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Cooler. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 90 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 35 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 81 percent. North winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 34 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 87 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 36 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ .OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS... Temperatures above normal. Precipitation below normal. $$ SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE =================================================================== 0 TO 17249 1 0 TO 33499 17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999 34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999 51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999 69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND =================================================================== STAGNANT NEAR CALM CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH 2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH 6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH 9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH 14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS. LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index. $$