971 
FNUS75 KGJT 051728
FWSGJT

Spot Forecast for South Carver RX...USFS
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
1128 AM MDT Sun May 5 2019

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1200 MDT on May 05. 
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Clouds will be increasing this afternoon with isolated
showers and thunderstorms possible in the evening. These showers will likely remain
north of the burn location, and will not produce any wetting rains over the fire.
Gusty and erratic winds may occur around any showers or thunderstorms the do form. 
The partly cloudy skies will continue through the night, but will be on the decrease 
tomorrow as drier air moves into the region. Winds will become mostly southerly tomorrow 
ahead of an upper level low entering the Desert Southwest that will bring precipitation 
to the region beginning late Tuesday night through the end of the week.  

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40%) with isolated showers mainly north of the 
                    burn location. 
Max temperature.....61-66 F. 
Min humidity........15-20%. 
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 - 10 MPH with gusts up to 15 MPH in the 
                    afternoon. 
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent. 
Haines Index........4 or low. 
LAL.................1. 
Mixing height.......12300 ft AGL. 
Transport winds.....Southwest 16 MPH. 

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40%). 
Min temperature.....35-40 F. 
Max humidity........48-53%. 
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 - 10 MPH. 
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent decreasing to poor (7000 knot-ft) 
                    overnight. 
Haines Index........5 or moderate. 
LAL.................1. 
Mixing height.......11300 ft AGL decreasing to 1300 ft AGL by 2200.
Transport winds.....North 16 MPH shifting to the southeast 10 MPH 
                    overnight. 

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30%). 
Max temperature.....62-67 F. 
Min humidity........13-18%. 
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 - 10 MPH with gusts up to 15 MPH in the 
                    afternoon. 
Smoke dispersal.....Good increasing to excellent in the afternoon. 
Haines Index........5 or moderate. 
LAL.................1. 
Mixing height.......7600 ft AGL increasing to 11700 ft AGL in the 
                    afternoon. 
Transport winds.....South 17 MPH. 

$$
Forecaster...Mike Charnick/Jimmy Fowler
Requested by...Matthew Traynham
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1908307.0/GJT
.DELDT 05/05/19
.FormatterVersion 1.0.26
.EMAIL mtraynham@fs.fed.us