781 FXUS64 KAMA 240521 AFDAMA Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Amarillo TX 1221 AM CDT Wed Apr 24 2019 .AVIATION... VFR conditions are expected throughout the 06Z TAF period. The only exception at times maybe for KAMA. Pockets of moisture leftover may result in some patchy BR/FG ending around 12Z. Confidence is not high enough to include in forecast at this time but will make appropriate amendments when conditions changes. Otherwise, besides a few high clouds, winds will be mostly light and variable with tranquil conditions expected for all TAF sites. Meccariello && PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 356 PM CDT Tue Apr 23 2019/ DISCUSSION... As the system that brought rainfall to much of the Panhandles continues to exit the region, the forecast will turn towards a relatively quiet period the next few days. There are a couple small chances for parts of the Oklahoma Panhandle to see some rainfall Thursday night through Saturday night as we transition to northwesterly flow aloft, but these chances are not showing up consistently between the models. In other words, not confident in these chances actually coming to fruition. Looking ahead, next week could become more active/impactful as we begin to head into our peak severe weather season. In the wake of the upper level low, we will be in northwesterly flow aloft. During this time, several small embedded pieces of energy will be noted. The resolution of these small perturbations are hard to discern at this time, but there could be a few rounds of showers/thunderstorms Thursday night through Saturday night. At this time, given the weak dynamics associated with these, not all that confident in these chances actually being realized. That being said, did put some small chances across the Oklahoma Panhandle. We then transition to a zonal pattern before the next system arrives over the west coast next week. This will lead to an overall nice weekend for Panhandle standards. Highs will be in the 80s with mostly clear skies and winds around 10-20 mph both days. Next system comes on shore Monday, and as it pushes eastward lift will increase across the Panhandles. An axis of instability will be noted across the Panhandles with increasing bulk shear. Dryline looks to set up across western parts of the Panhandles, and thunderstorm chances will be possible across the area. GFS is much stronger with instability but less on the QPF than the European...and vice versa regarding the European. This is of course Day7, so a lot can change. It does look like next week could potentially be an active period. Stay tuned. && .AMA Watches/Warnings/Advisories... TX...None. OK...None. && $$ 29/3