353 FNUS71 KAKQ 261608 FWSAKQ Spot Forecast for hutchinson...USFWS National Weather Service Wakefield VA 1208 PM EDT Tue Mar 26 2019 Forecast is based on ignition time of 1200 EDT on March 26. If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather Service at 757-899-5734. .DISCUSSION... High pressure will promote sunshine and dry weather through Wednesday. Winds for Wednesday will be light out of the northeast, veering to east late in the afternoon. RH recovery will be good tonight, up to around 70% or so by daybreak. RH will then fall quickly through the morning, before ending up around 20% Wednesday afternoon. .REST OF TODAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-5 percent). Chance of pcpn......0 percent. Max temperature.....Around 53. Min humidity........16 percent. Wind (20 ft)........North winds 10 to 12 mph. Gusts to 20 mph. Mixing height.......4300 ft AGL. Transport winds.....North 17 to 21 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Increasing to excellent (64300 knot-ft) in the afternoon. LVORI...............1. ADI.................50. Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (EDT) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........5 5 4 3 3 2 Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 Temp............48 49 50 51 52 51 RH..............23 19 17 16 16 18 20 FT wind dir..N N N N N N 20 FT wind spd..12 11 10 10 9 9 20 FT wind gust.17 16 16 16 14 14 Mix hgt (kft)...3.5 3.8 4.0 4.2 4.3 4.3 Transp wind dir.N N N N N N Transp wind spd.21 20 18 18 18 17 LVORI...........1 1 1 1 1 1 ADI.............51 50 50 50 50 49 Haines index....4 5 5 5 5 5 Vrate kt-ft/1K..74 76 72 76 78 73 Ventrate Cat....GD GD GD GD GD GD .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Clear (0-5 percent). Chance of pcpn......0 percent. Min temperature.....Around 28. Max humidity........68 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 to 8 mph early in the evening becoming light. Mixing height.......300 ft AGL. Transport winds.....North 6 to 15 mph shifting to the northeast 5 to 7 mph overnight. Smoke dispersal.....Good (42100 knot-ft) early in the evening decreasing to poor (1000 knot-ft) late in the night. LVORI...............2. ADI.................50 decreasing to 6. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM Sky (%).........0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Temp............49 46 42 40 39 38 37 36 35 34 32 30 RH..............25 32 41 44 48 50 52 52 54 54 58 63 20 FT wind dir..N NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE 20 FT wind spd..7 6 5 5 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 20 FT wind gust.11 10 7 7 6 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 Mix hgt (kft)...3.2 2.1 1.0 0.8 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 Transp wind dir.N N N N N N N N N N N NE Transp wind spd.15 13 10 10 10 10 8 6 5 5 6 7 LVORI...........1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 ADI.............50 9 5 5 5 4 4 3 2 2 2 3 Haines index....5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 Vrate kt-ft/1K..42 23 9 7 5 3 2 1 1 1 1 2 Ventrate Cat....FR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR .WEDNESDAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-5 percent). Chance of pcpn......0 percent. Max temperature.....Around 56. Min humidity........21 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming northeast around 5 mph in the late morning and early afternoon, then becoming east late. Mixing height.......4300 ft AGL. Transport winds.....East 5 to 14 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (3300 knot-ft) early in the morning increasing to fair (24200 knot-ft) in the afternoon. LVORI...............3. ADI.................8 increasing to 31 in the late morning and afternoon. Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM Sky (%).........0 0 0 0 0 0 Weather cov..... Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE Tstm cov........ Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 Temp............28 31 41 50 53 55 RH..............68 66 43 29 23 22 20 ft wind......NE 3 NE 4 NE 5 NE 5 NE 5 E 4 20 ft wind gust.5 6 7 7 7 6 Mix hgt (ft)....400 600 2200 3400 4200 4200 Transport wind..NE 9 NE 14 NE 12 NE 8 NE 7 E 5 LVORI...........3 3 2 2 2 2 ADI.............4 11 30 30 30 26 Haines index....5 4 4 4 4 5 Vrate kt-ft/1K..4 8 26 27 29 21 Ventrate Cat....POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR $$ Forecaster...McGEE Requested by...Gregg Buckalew Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 1904546.0/AKQ .DELDT 03/26/19 .FormatterVersion 1.0.26 .EMAIL gregg_buckalew@fws.gov