020 
FXUS65 KFGZ 232202
AFDFGZ

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
302 PM MST Sat Mar 23 2019

.SYNOPSIS...A weak weather disturbance will brush northern Arizona
this evening with a few showers possible along the Utah border.  
From Sunday through Tuesday, high pressure will lead to a period 
of above average temperatures. A low pressure system may bring 
windy conditions on Wednesday and Thursday, as well chances for 
light showers.

&&

.DISCUSSION...A weak shortwave will move through Utah tonight with
just a slight chance for showers along the Utah border. 

High pressure will then build over the southwest through Tuesday
with a noticeable warming trend. In fact, by Tuesday, afternoon 
temperatures should be around 10 degrees above average. This will
be the warmest temperatures of the year so far. 

A trough of low pressure building off the West Coast on Tuesday
will begin to increase southwest winds on Tuesday. Winds will
increases on Wednesday and Thursday as the trough approaches.
High temperatures will also drop by 10 degrees by Thursday. Little
if any precipitation is expected with this storm at this time. 

&&

.AVIATION...For the 00Z Package...Mainly VFR conditions are forecast 
over the next 24 hours. Slight chance of showers north of a KGCN-
K0V7 line through 06Z with cigs around 4-7kft AGL. Daytime winds 
decrease between 01-03Z to generally light and variable. West to 
southwest winds increase again after 18Z to 5-15 kts. Aviation 
discussion not updated for TAF amendments. 

&&

.FIRE WEATHER... A quick moving weak trough will bring a slight 
chance for showers near the AZ/UT border this evening. A warming 
trend begins Sunday and continues into Monday. Ventilation rates 
will be highest Sunday in northeastern Arizona.  

.Tuesday through Thursday...The warming trend will last through 
Tuesday before temperatures decrease Wednesday and Thursday. 
Anticipate breezy south to southwest winds each day of this period.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC...MAS
AVIATION...NL
FIRE WEATHER...NL


For Northern Arizona weather information visit
weather.gov/flagstaff