561 FNUS73 KSGF 181444 FWSSGF Spot Forecast for Bluestem Knoll B...MO Dept Natural Resources National Weather Service Springfield MO 944 AM CDT Mon Mar 18 2019 Forecast is based on ignition time of 1100 CDT on March 18. If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather Service. Please contact our office at 1-800-762-4363, if you have questions or concerns with this forecast. .DISCUSSION... A fair weather high pressure systems will dominate weather conditions across much of Missouri today. This will allow for sunny skies and low humidity. No precipitation is expected today while surface winds remain light and somewhat variable. .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent). Chance of pcpn......0 percent. Temperature.........47 at ignition...Max 55. RH..................43 percent at ignition...Min 27 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Winds northeast at 3 mph at ignition...otherwise Light winds. Mixing height.......0-1800 ft AGL increasing to 4900-6600 ft AGL. Mixing height (m)...0-549 meters AGL increasing to 1494-2012 meters AGL. Transport winds.....East around 5 mph shifting to the northwest 7 to 9 mph. Transport winds m/s.East around 2 meters/second shifting to the northwest 3 to 4 meters/second. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (0 knot-ft) increasing to fair to good (29900-45900 knot-ft). Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth at ignition...max 4. Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches. TIME (CDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........11 3 7 19 20 15 13 Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Temp............47 50 53 54 55 55 54 RH..............43 37 29 28 26 26 28 20 FT wind dir..NE N N N N N N 20 FT wind spd..3 3 3 3 3 3 3 20 FT wind gust.7 6 6 6 6 6 5 Mix hgt (kft)...4.2 5.4 6.2 6.6 6.6 6.1 4.9 Mix hgt (km)....1.3 1.6 1.9 2.0 2.0 1.9 1.5 Transp wind dir.N N NW NW NW NW NW Transp wind spd.7 7 7 7 8 8 7 Trans wind dir..N N NW NW NW NW NW Trans spd (m/s).3 3 3 3 4 4 3 Haines index....4 3 3 3 2 2 2 VRate kt-ft/100025 32 37 43 46 43 30 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent) then becoming mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of pcpn......10 percent. Temperature.........Min 37. RH..................Max 73 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Mixing height.......1900-3400 ft AGL decreasing to 0-1000 ft AGL early in the evening. Mixing height (m)...579-1036 meters AGL decreasing to 0-305 meters AGL early in the evening. Transport winds.....Southeast 5 to 9 mph. Transport winds m/s.Southeast 2 to 4 meters/second. Smoke dispersal.....Poor to fair (7700-16400 knot-ft) decreasing to poor (0 knot-ft) early in the evening. Haines Index........2 to 3 OR or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches. TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM Sky (%).........30 28 26 25 19 26 32 39 48 58 67 71 Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10 Temp............52 50 47 45 43 41 39 38 38 37 38 37 RH..............32 39 43 47 51 55 59 62 62 67 64 67 20 FT wind dir..N N NE NE E E E E SE SE SE SE 20 FT wind spd..3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 20 FT wind gust.5 5 5 5 Mix hgt (kft)...3.4 1.9 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 Mix hgt (km)....1.0 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 Transp wind dir.N N NE NE NE E E E E SE SE SE Transp wind spd.6 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 7 8 9 9 Trans wind dir..N N NE NE NE E E E E SE SE SE Trans spd (m/s).3 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 Haines index....2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 VRate kt-ft/100016 8 4 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .TUESDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Slight chance of rain showers. Chance of pcpn......20 percent. Temperature.........Max 55. RH..................Min 48 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 6 mph in the late morning and afternoon. Mixing height.......0-1300 ft AGL increasing to 1800-3700 ft AGL late in the morning. Mixing height (m)...0-396 meters AGL increasing to 549-1128 meters AGL late in the morning. Transport winds.....Southwest 8 to 16 mph. Transport winds m/s.Southwest 4 to 7 meters/second. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (0 knot-ft) increasing to fair (13000 knot-ft) late in the morning, then increasing to fair (25500 knot-ft) late in the morning increasing to good (40900 knot-ft) early in the afternoon decreasing to fair to good (21200-30900 knot-ft). Haines Index........2 to 3 OR or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches. TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........75 79 83 86 90 88 86 84 85 87 88 86 Weather cov..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH Weather type.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW Tstm cov........ Chc of pcpn (%).10 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 Temp............37 37 39 41 44 46 48 49 51 52 53 54 RH..............70 72 73 73 68 63 58 56 52 52 50 48 20 FT wind dir..SE S S S S S S S S S S S 20 FT wind spd..4 4 4 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 20 FT wind gust.5 6 7 9 10 12 13 14 14 13 12 12 Mix hgt (kft)...0.1 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.3 2.2 3.1 3.7 3.7 3.2 2.6 1.8 Mix hgt (km)....0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.7 0.9 1.1 1.1 1.0 0.8 0.5 Transp wind dir.S S S S S S S S SW SW SW SW Transp wind spd.8 8 9 10 12 14 15 16 16 15 14 14 Trans wind dir..S S S S S S S S SW SW SW SW Trans spd (m/s).4 4 4 4 5 6 7 7 7 7 6 6 Haines index....2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 VRate kt-ft/10000 0 2 6 13 26 41 52 50 41 31 21 .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .WEDNESDAY... Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the lower 50s. Southwest winds around 7 mph. .THURSDAY... Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the upper 50s. West winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY... Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the mid 60s. Light winds. $$ Forecaster...CRAMER Requested by...Cindy Hall Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 1903581.0/SGF .DELDT 03/18/19 .EMAIL cindy.hall@dnr.mo.gov