739 
FXUS63 KFGF 160212
AFDFGF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
912 PM CDT Fri Mar 15 2019

.UPDATE...
Issued at 912 PM CDT Fri Mar 15 2019

Looks like the very light snow expected later tonight into early 
Saturday morning should slide west of the FA. Therefore removed 
the mention of light snow across the southwest FA during this 
time period. Otherwise, there are still a few low clouds from 
Baudette to Bemidji with mid and high level clouds streaming into 
eastern ND already. This should help keep fog at bay and prevent 
temperatures from bottoming out too much tonight.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Saturday Night)
Issued at 300 PM CDT Fri Mar 15 2019

Impacts for the short term continue to remain low. Will see a
couple weak periods of pcpn move across the northern plains
overnight into Saturday the first will bring a band of light snow
across NW ND into south central ND by Saturday morning. This band
may brush southern Sargent and Richland counties with some
light snow, less than an inch, before dawn. Will also see PoPs
increase during the day down the valley and into NW MN with weak 
WAA and weak q-vector divergence in the 300-500mb layer as weak
short wave moves down the NW flow aloft. Again snow will be light
with an inch or less expected through Saturday night into Sunday
morning.

Temps tonight will drop down into the single digits as skies
remain clear with some rising occuring before dawn in the west
with the increase of clouds. Saturdays high temps will be around
30F, still below normal. 

.LONG TERM...(Sunday through Friday) 
Issued at 300 PM CDT Fri Mar 15 2019

The long term pattern continues to look quiet wrt to impacts as
temperatures slowly moderate as upper level ridging brings a
warming trend to the northern plains. The only precip chances
appear set for Monday night with warm air advection leading to low
QPF. Will see temps on Sunday be the coldest day of the week with
highs in the low 30s. By the end of the work week temps high 
temps will range from 40 to near 50 in the trees. The daily spring
freeze thaw cycle will begin the snow pack ripening process 
through this period. 

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Saturday evening)
Issued at 640 PM CDT Fri Mar 15 2019

Fog is the main question for this set of TAFs. At this point,
confidence is not really high in it, so only mentioned for a few 
of the TAF sites. Will see how later model guidance looks before 
deciding if it needs to be mentioned at other sites, or if it 
looks worse than anticipated.


&&

.FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ND...None.
MN...None.
&&

$$

UPDATE...Godon
SHORT TERM...JK
LONG TERM...JK
AVIATION...Godon