031 
FXUS64 KMRX 100812
AFDMRX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Morristown TN
412 AM EDT Sun Mar 10 2019

.SHORT TERM...(Today and Tonight)...The weak cold front moving 
through the region will exit our area to the east today.  May be a 
lingering shower early over eastern areas, but most areas will be 
dry for the entire short term period as surface high pressure to our 
northwest builds in.  The lower clouds will exit, but there will be 
an increase in high clouds during the period.  However, still should 
be considerable sunshine today with above normal temperatures.  The 
high wind warning will be allowed to expire as mountain wave 
enhancement is ending.   

.LONG TERM...(Monday through Saturday)... Quiet pattern to start 
extended forecast period with high pressure moving toward the 
Tennessee Valley and centered to the northwest Monday. Upper level
flow is zonal Monday then ridging aloft ahead of upper level low 
that spins off the southwest US coast brings warmer temperatures 
at mid week. The deep trough associated with this upper low moves 
into the south central states Wednesday. As the system deepens and
the parent deep surface low moves into the northern plains A warm
front is expected to develop across the eastern Tennessee Valley 
bringing up warm moist air from the Gulf of Mexico. A chance of 
thunderstorms Thursday and Thursday night ahead the cold front. 
Temperatures will be much above normal in the upper 60s to lower 
70s. Also a heavy rain threat Thursday night and early Friday 
ahead of the front. Friday and Saturday temperatures will be 
cooler with highs Saturday only in the upper 40s to lower 50s and 
a slight chance of showers.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Chattanooga Airport, TN             71  44  64  40 /  10   0  10   0 
Knoxville McGhee Tyson Airport, TN  70  41  60  35 /  10   0  10   0 
Oak Ridge, TN                       69  42  62  34 /   0   0  10   0 
Tri Cities Airport, TN              70  38  60  28 /  10   0  10   0 

&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...None.
TN...None.
VA...None.
&&

$$

LW/TD