469 FXUS64 KAMA 091010 AFDAMA Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Amarillo TX 410 AM CST Sat Mar 9 2019 .SHORT TERM...Today and tonight... Surface low moving east across western Kansas with the Pacific cold front moving east across the Panhandles. High winds have accompanied the front, mainly across the southern half of the Texas Panhandle, and expect winds to remain gusty this morning and then gradually diminish this afternoon into early this evening. Winds expected to veer from the west and northwest this morning and then around to the north and northeast from northeast to southwest across the Panhandles by this evening as a reinforcing surge pushes through the forecast area. Much cooler tonight as a moist upslope surface flow develops. Schneider && .LONG TERM...Sunday through Friday... East and southeast post-frontal winds will hold Sunday high temperatures about 10 degrees below normal. Moist southeast winds continue Sunday night, with a slight chance of showers across southeast sections. Main story continues to be potential for widespread rains Monday through Tuesday night. Models agree that closed mid-level low will dig offshore of southern California on Monday, setting up a strong moist southwest flow across the Texas and Oklahoma Panhandles. The closed low comes ashore south of the border Monday night, tracking across southern Arizona on Tuesday. Main dynamics from this system expected to cross forecast area Tuesday night and early Wednesday. Gulf moisture expected to be replenished by Monday afternoon. As instability increases, threat for thunder will increase Monday night through Tuesday night. Highly sheared environment expected to be in place, but widespread clouds and cool conditions expected to keep severe threat low. Locally heavy rains may occur however, possibly leading to flooding issues. By Wednesday, dynamic system lifts northeast of area, with chances for light precipitation continuing over mainly northern sections. Associated Pacific front passes with windy west winds. Light precipitation, including the potential for light snow, will be possible Wednesday night and Thursday, mainly across northwest and western sections as a trailing disturbance moves through. Cockrell && .FIRE WEATHER... Elevated fire weather conditions expected today across all of the Panhandles between around 10 AM to 12 PM until 6 PM as the west and northwest 20 foot winds continue around 20 to 30 mph with gusts near 40 mph and minimum humidities fall into the 13 to 25 percent range. Max RFTIs are forecast to be in the 1 to 3 range today over all of the Panhandles. Schneider && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Amarillo TX 64 30 51 34 51 / 0 0 0 10 60 Beaver OK 60 24 49 30 48 / 5 0 0 10 50 Boise City OK 60 21 50 28 52 / 0 0 0 5 60 Borger TX 67 30 53 35 52 / 0 0 0 10 60 Boys Ranch TX 65 31 53 34 54 / 0 0 0 10 70 Canyon TX 65 30 52 34 52 / 0 0 0 10 70 Clarendon TX 66 31 50 35 49 / 0 0 0 20 70 Dalhart TX 63 24 52 31 53 / 0 0 0 5 70 Guymon OK 61 24 51 30 50 / 5 0 0 5 50 Hereford TX 65 31 53 35 53 / 0 0 0 10 70 Lipscomb TX 63 28 50 33 49 / 5 0 0 10 60 Pampa TX 66 28 50 33 50 / 5 0 0 10 60 Shamrock TX 67 29 51 36 50 / 5 0 0 20 60 Wellington TX 68 32 52 37 51 / 5 0 5 20 70 && .AMA Watches/Warnings/Advisories... TX...None. OK...None. && $$ 11/03