353 FNUS52 KILM 071319 FWFILM Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina National Weather Service Wilmington NC 819 AM EST Thu Mar 7 2019 .DISCUSSION.. Canadian high pressure drifts offshore today. A cold front will stall across the area Friday night and Saturday, returning north Saturday night. Another cold front moves through from the west late Sunday, possibly accompanied by thunderstorms. Dry weather should return under high pressure early next week. Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable. Fog potential for tonight...Low. NCZ105>110-080530- Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover- Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick- Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro, Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport, and Sunset Beach 819 AM EST Thu Mar 7 2019 Today Tonight Fri Cloud amount MClear PCldy MCldy Precip chc (%) 0 0 40 Precip type None None Showers LAL 1 1 1 Min/Max Temp 57 34 64 Wnd20ft/early(mph) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR E 3 Wnd20ft/late(mph) SW 3 LGT/VAR SW 4 Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.03 Precip duration 1 Inversion 40/900 1900 52/1000 Dispersion Very Poor Max/Min RH (%) 31 85 46 DSI 3 2 Haines Index 5 5 5 Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 5900 5150 Transport wnd (mph) SW 10 N 0 Ventilation rate 59000 0 ADI early 40 Fair 2 Very poor 2 Very poor ADI late 49 Gen good 2 Very poor 1 Very poor Max LVORI early 4 3 5 Max LVORI late 1 5 3 Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers with isolated thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 73 percent. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 45 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Cooler. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 74 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 39 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 81 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 46 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ NCZ096-099-080530- Bladen-Columbus- Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw 819 AM EST Thu Mar 7 2019 Today Tonight Fri Cloud amount MClear PCldy MCldy Precip chc (%) 0 0 60 Precip type None None Showers LAL 1 1 1 Min/Max Temp 57 34 63 Wnd20ft/early(mph) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR SE 3 Wnd20ft/late(mph) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR SW 4 Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.04 Precip duration 1 Inversion 37/900 1800 51/1000 Dispersion Very Poor Max/Min RH (%) 29 83 46 DSI 3 2 Haines Index 5 5 5 Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 5400 4970 Transport wnd (mph) SW 8 N 0 Ventilation rate 43200 0 ADI early 29 Fair 2 Very poor 3 Very poor ADI late 48 Gen good 2 Very poor 1 Very poor Max LVORI early 4 3 5 Max LVORI late 1 4 3 Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .FRIDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 61 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely with isolated thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 69 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 41 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 74 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 35 percent. North winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 80 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 44 percent. East winds around 5 mph. $$ NCZ087-080530- Robeson- Including the city of Lumberton 819 AM EST Thu Mar 7 2019 Today Tonight Fri Cloud amount MClear PCldy MCldy Precip chc (%) 0 0 70 Precip type None None Showers LAL 1 1 1 Min/Max Temp 56 34 60 Wnd20ft/early(mph) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR SE 4 Wnd20ft/late(mph) LGT/VAR E 3 S 5 Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.07 Precip duration 4 Inversion 37/900 1800 49/1000 Dispersion Very Poor Max/Min RH (%) 25 77 47 DSI 3 2 Haines Index 5 5 5 Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 5100 4360 Transport wnd (mph) SW 6 N 0 Ventilation rate 30600 0 ADI early 9 poor 2 Very poor 5 Very poor ADI late 31 Fair 3 Very poor 1 Very poor Max LVORI early 4 3 4 Max LVORI late 2 4 3 Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .FRIDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 61 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely with isolated thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 69 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 38 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 72 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 34 percent. North winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 78 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 44 percent. East winds around 5 mph. $$ SCZ054>056-058-059-080530- Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry- Northern Horry- Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor 819 AM EST Thu Mar 7 2019 Today Tonight Fri Cloud amount MClear MClear PCldy Precip chc (%) 0 0 30 Precip type None None Showers LAL 1 1 1 Min/Max Temp 59 35 65 Wnd20ft/early(mph) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR SE 3 Wnd20ft/late(mph) SW 3 LGT/VAR S 5 Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.01 Precip duration 1 Inversion 41/900 1800 53/1000 Dispersion Very Poor Max/Min RH (%) 28 85 48 DSI 2 2 Haines Index 5 5 5 Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 5190 5100 Transport wnd (mph) SW 7 N 0 Ventilation rate 36330 0 ADI early 43 Gen good 2 Very poor 2 Very poor ADI late 42 Gen good 1 Very poor 1 Very poor Max LVORI early 5 3 5 Max LVORI late 2 5 3 Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Lows around 50. Maximum RH 97 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 65 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers with isolated thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 72 percent. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 50 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Cooler. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 79 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 43 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 82 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 51 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ SCZ032-033-039-080530- Florence-Marion-Williamsburg- Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree 819 AM EST Thu Mar 7 2019 Today Tonight Fri Cloud amount MClear MClear MCldy Precip chc (%) 0 0 50 Precip type None None Showers LAL 1 1 1 Min/Max Temp 58 35 65 Wnd20ft/early(mph) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR SE 3 Wnd20ft/late(mph) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR SW 5 Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.02 Precip duration 1 Inversion 39/900 1800 54/1100 Dispersion Very Poor Max/Min RH (%) 27 82 47 DSI 2 2 Haines Index 4 5 5 Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 4860 4770 Transport wnd (mph) SW 7 N 0 Ventilation rate 34020 0 ADI early 34 Fair 1 Very poor 2 Very poor ADI late 35 Fair 1 Very poor 1 Very poor Max LVORI early 6 3 5 Max LVORI late 2 4 3 Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 61 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers with isolated thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 66 percent. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 42 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Cooler. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 76 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 37 percent. North winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 82 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 48 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ SCZ017-023-024-080530- Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon- Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville, Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon 819 AM EST Thu Mar 7 2019 Today Tonight Fri Cloud amount MClear PCldy MCldy Precip chc (%) 0 0 70 Precip type None None Showers LAL 1 1 1 Min/Max Temp 57 34 61 Wnd20ft/early(mph) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR SE 3 Wnd20ft/late(mph) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR S 5 Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.06 Precip duration 4 Inversion 37/900 1800 52/1100 Dispersion Very Poor Max/Min RH (%) 29 78 50 DSI 2 2 Haines Index 4 5 5 Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 4980 4620 Transport wnd (mph) SW 3 N 0 Ventilation rate 14940 0 ADI early 11 poor 2 Very poor 4 Very poor ADI late 21 Fair 2 Very poor 1 Very poor Max LVORI early 5 3 4 Max LVORI late 2 4 3 Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .FRIDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 95 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 64 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely with isolated thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 70 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 98 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 40 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 73 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 37 percent. North winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 81 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 48 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ .OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS... Temperatures near normal. Precipitation above normal. $$ SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE =================================================================== 0 TO 17249 1 0 TO 33499 17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999 34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999 51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999 69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND =================================================================== STAGNANT NEAR CALM CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH 2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH 6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH 9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH 14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS. LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index. $$