531 
FXUS63 KOAX 012341
AFDOAX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Omaha/Valley NE
541 PM CST Fri Mar 1 2019

.SHORT TERM...(Tonight through Monday)
Issued at 229 PM CST Fri Mar 1 2019

Hope you have enjoyed the warmth today with readings in the mid
20s to lowers 30s. It only goes downhill from here though with
highs in the teens and 20s on Saturday, then record cold low maxes
on Sunday with highs only in the single digits. 

We're also expecting some snow to move across the region Saturday
through Saturday night. Amounts will not be large, ranging from
one half inch across west central Iowa, to around 3 inches near
the NE/KS border. Considering this turned out to be what feels
like the longest winter ever, and winds remain on the lighter
side, felt that an advisory wasn't needed at this time. 

Low temperatures drop to 8 below to 9 above Saturday night. When
combined with the wind, this will create wind chill values 10 to
15 to 25 below zero north of Interstate 80. We will eventually
need a wind chill advisory for that area, but will likely wait
until tonight or tomorrow to issue that. 

Record cold continues Sunday with highs only in the single digits.
This should break previous low maximum highs for this date, which
range from 6 at Norfolk, to 10 at both Lincoln/Omaha. 

Another bitter cold night Sunday night with lows 5 to 10 below
zero. While this is harsh for March 4th, it won't break any
records as previous values are -13 at Omaha, -19 at Lincoln, and
-20 at Norfolk. 

Another cold day Monday with highs again in the single digits to
low teens, but with dry conditions. 

.LONG TERM...(Monday night through Friday)
Issued at 229 PM CST Fri Mar 1 2019

The extended period will see a gradual warming trend. Dry Tuesday
and Wednesday. Highs start out in the teens, but reach the 20s and
30s for Wednesday through Friday. And shocker, more snow in the
forecast for Thursday. 

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Saturday evening)
Issued at 538 PM CST Fri Mar 1 2019

MVFR cigs will linger across eastern Nebraska through the evening
before lifting to VFR. Gusty northwest winds over 20kt at KOFK
should diminish to under 15kt early in the TAF period. An area of
light snow will move in from the west Saturday morning, affecting
KOFK and KLNK around 18Z with IFR cigs/vsbys likely. Mainly MVFR
cigs/vsbys are expected at KOMA as eastward extent of snow will be
limited.

&&

.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...None.
IA...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...DeWald
LONG TERM...DeWald
AVIATION...Dergan